The best indicator for Devon Energy (DVN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Devon Energy (DVN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Devon Energy (DVN) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
WMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Devon Energy (DVN) over ~41.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR.
Devon Energy (DVN) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Devon Energy (DVN) — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.47 | -66.2% | 52.2% | 23 | 3.4% |
| 2 | Three White Soldiers ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.47 | -49.5% | 51.0% | 96 | 1.6% |
| 3 | WMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.47 | -64.9% | 43.5% | 23 | 3.5% |
| 4 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.46 | -60.5% | 50.0% | 26 | 3.7% |
| 5 | Bollinger Squeeze ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.46 | -36.4% | 55.2% | 29 | 1.5% |
| 6 | Hull MA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.46 | -53.6% | 56.8% | 37 | 1.5% |
| 7 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.46 | -71.7% | 54.8% | 31 | 3.2% |
| 8 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.45 | -69.6% | 42.1% | 38 | 2.9% |
| 9 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.44 | -65.8% | 43.9% | 41 | 2.4% |
| 10 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.43 | -62.6% | 34.8% | 46 | 2.6% |
| 11 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.43 | -52.1% | 29.4% | 187 | 2.4% |
| 12 | KAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.43 | -53.1% | 27.0% | 226 | 2.4% |
| 13 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.43 | -64.9% | 38.7% | 106 | 2.3% |
| 14 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.43 | -60.4% | 45.0% | 100 | 2.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Devon Energy (DVN)
563 of 698 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Devon Energy (DVN) outright. Another 1 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 1 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | 4 | none needed | 1.61× |
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | 3 | none needed | 2.04× |
| MACD | 2 | none needed | 1.78× |
| RSI Trend (>50) | 2 | none needed | 1.55× |
| Bollinger Breakout | 2 | none needed | 2.46× |
| Rate of Change | 2 | none needed | 1.78× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Devon Energy (DVN), WMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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