The best indicator for Duke Energy (DUK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Duke Energy (DUK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Duke Energy (DUK) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Historical Volatility Regime
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Duke Energy (DUK) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.1% CAGR.
Duke Energy (DUK) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Duke Energy (DUK) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.69 | -22.0% | 53.0% | 66 | -5.1% |
| 2 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.65 | -33.2% | 85.0% | 20 | -1.9% |
| 3 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.69 | -33.2% | 78.6% | 14 | -1.1% |
| 4 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.64 | -33.2% | 82.4% | 17 | -1.9% |
| 5 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.64 | -33.2% | 77.3% | 22 | -2.3% |
| 6 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.64 | -33.2% | 76.5% | 17 | -2.0% |
| 7 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.64 | -30.8% | 50.0% | 34 | -1.3% |
| 8 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.64 | -37.6% | 69.6% | 23 | -2.2% |
| 9 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.64 | -29.0% | 57.9% | 76 | -5.5% |
| 10 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.68 | -30.9% | 78.6% | 14 | -1.7% |
| 11 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.67 | -33.2% | 92.9% | 14 | -1.4% |
| 12 | WMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.62 | -33.2% | 69.6% | 23 | -2.7% |
| 13 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.61 | -37.4% | 52.4% | 21 | -2.5% |
| 14 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.61 | -55.4% | 36.8% | 19 | -0.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Duke Energy (DUK)
3 of 706 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Duke Energy (DUK) outright. Another 194 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 271 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| TRIX | 1 | none needed | 4.85× |
| Know Sure Thing | 1 | none needed | 4.49× |
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | none needed | 5.47× |
| QQE | — | 1.23× | 3.03× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.39× | 3.7× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.84× | 3.27× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Duke Energy (DUK), Historical Volatility Regime on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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