The best indicator for Duke Energy (DUK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Duke Energy (DUK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Historical Volatility Regime
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Duke Energy (DUK) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Duke Energy (DUK) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.7 | -23.6% | 56.9% | 72 | -4.9% |
| 2 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.66 | -33.2% | 85.0% | 20 | -1.8% |
| 3 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.65 | -33.2% | 82.4% | 17 | -1.9% |
| 4 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.65 | -33.2% | 83.3% | 18 | -2.0% |
| 5 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.69 | -33.2% | 78.6% | 14 | -1.1% |
| 6 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.69 | -24.0% | 85.7% | 14 | -1.4% |
| 7 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.64 | -37.6% | 69.6% | 23 | -2.4% |
| 8 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.64 | -29.5% | 60.2% | 83 | -5.5% |
| 9 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.63 | -33.2% | 81.8% | 22 | -2.5% |
| 10 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.63 | -35.0% | 42.9% | 35 | -1.5% |
| 11 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.67 | -33.2% | 92.9% | 14 | -1.4% |
| 12 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.62 | -37.4% | 52.4% | 21 | -2.6% |
| 13 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.62 | -55.4% | 36.8% | 19 | -0.9% |
| 14 | WMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.61 | -33.2% | 70.8% | 24 | -2.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Duke Energy (DUK), Historical Volatility Regime on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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