The best indicator for Krispy Kreme
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Krispy Kreme history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Krispy Kreme stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Order-Flow Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Krispy Kreme over ~5.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 44.0% CAGR.
Krispy Kreme on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Daily | 13.0% | 0.55 | -43.7% | 64.0% | 25 | 44.0% |
| 2 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.39 | -76.9% | 61.9% | 21 | 37.1% |
| 3 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 4.6% | 0.32 | -79.8% | 76.5% | 17 | 35.6% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.31 | -52.5% | 52.3% | 44 | 34.7% |
| 5 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 4.2% | 0.3 | -63.9% | 65.4% | 26 | 35.2% |
| 6 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 3.5% | 0.29 | -62.2% | 63.6% | 33 | 34.6% |
| 7 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Daily | 4.2% | 0.29 | -57.9% | 46.3% | 123 | 35.3% |
| 8 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | 4.4% | 0.28 | -41.5% | 68.4% | 38 | 35.4% |
| 9 | Morning Star ✓ | Daily | 3.6% | 0.26 | -31.6% | 48.0% | 50 | 34.6% |
| 10 | Demand Index | Weekly | 3.2% | 0.28 | -73.9% | 61.5% | 13 | 32.6% |
| 11 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -0.3% | 0.21 | -68.1% | 64.0% | 25 | 30.8% |
| 12 | Klinger Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 2.4% | 0.22 | -39.7% | 28.6% | 14 | 31.8% |
| 13 | VWAP Bands | Daily | 1.0% | 0.19 | -64.3% | 53.8% | 26 | 32.1% |
| 14 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 0.3% | 0.19 | -62.9% | 52.1% | 48 | 31.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Krispy Kreme lost money across the out-of-sample window in 289 of 289 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Krispy Kreme, Order-Flow Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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