The best indicator for Dollar Tree (DLTR)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dollar Tree (DLTR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Standard Error Bands
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dollar Tree (DLTR) over ~31.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 10.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dollar Tree (DLTR) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Standard Error Bands ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.6 | -15.3% | 80.0% | 15 | -10.7% |
| 2 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.58 | -47.9% | 94.4% | 18 | -5.2% |
| 3 | UT Bot (ATR Trailing) ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.57 | -57.9% | 50.6% | 89 | -2.7% |
| 4 | True Strength Index ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.56 | -44.2% | 55.6% | 63 | -4.2% |
| 5 | Williams %R (7) ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.56 | -46.9% | 51.7% | 145 | -3.5% |
| 6 | MBFX Timing ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.56 | -46.9% | 51.7% | 145 | -3.5% |
| 7 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.55 | -62.0% | 44.2% | 43 | -1.5% |
| 8 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.55 | -67.6% | 51.8% | 166 | -3.7% |
| 9 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.54 | -54.5% | 69.9% | 229 | -5.0% |
| 10 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.54 | -50.7% | 48.5% | 68 | -3.4% |
| 11 | Smoothed Heikin-Ashi ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.54 | -45.4% | 49.5% | 103 | -3.9% |
| 12 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.54 | -67.8% | 43.1% | 102 | -2.6% |
| 13 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.53 | -49.6% | 45.0% | 100 | -3.9% |
| 14 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.53 | -55.4% | 66.7% | 24 | -5.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dollar Tree (DLTR), Standard Error Bands on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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