The best indicator for Dollar General (DG)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dollar General (DG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TEMA 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dollar General (DG) over ~16.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dollar General (DG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.6 | -19.5% | 57.8% | 64 | -1.7% |
| 2 | Williams %R (7) ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.6 | -25.6% | 51.4% | 74 | -0.3% |
| 3 | MBFX Timing ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.6 | -25.6% | 51.4% | 74 | -0.3% |
| 4 | Money Flow Index | Daily | 9.0% | 0.58 | -42.1% | 88.9% | 18 | -1.6% |
| 5 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.58 | -26.6% | 58.3% | 36 | -0.5% |
| 6 | Even Better Sinewave | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.58 | -36.5% | 66.7% | 18 | 0.1% |
| 7 | WMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.57 | -35.7% | 46.0% | 50 | -0.7% |
| 8 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.57 | -35.8% | 73.7% | 19 | -0.4% |
| 9 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.57 | -35.8% | 73.7% | 19 | -0.4% |
| 10 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.56 | -38.6% | 34.1% | 41 | 0.8% |
| 11 | UT Bot (ATR Trailing) ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.56 | -25.9% | 50.0% | 54 | -1.2% |
| 12 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.55 | -39.0% | 48.1% | 52 | -1.3% |
| 13 | Disparity Index ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.55 | -38.4% | 50.9% | 55 | -1.0% |
| 14 | Smoothed Heikin-Ashi ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.55 | -37.9% | 46.4% | 56 | -1.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dollar General (DG), TEMA 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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