The best indicator for Dropbox
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dropbox history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Dropbox stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dropbox over ~8.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 18.0% CAGR.
Dropbox on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 19.6% | 0.86 | -35.1% | 76.1% | 46 | 18.0% |
| 2 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 14.7% | 0.82 | -21.0% | 76.2% | 42 | 13.0% |
| 3 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 15.3% | 0.79 | -36.9% | 83.3% | 30 | 13.6% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.75 | -36.7% | 77.4% | 62 | 13.8% |
| 5 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 13.0% | 0.75 | -24.7% | 80.0% | 40 | 11.4% |
| 6 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.72 | -21.0% | 78.1% | 32 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.7 | -21.0% | 80.6% | 36 | 10.3% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.7 | -21.0% | 80.6% | 36 | 10.3% |
| 9 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.67 | -19.2% | 70.0% | 20 | 8.0% |
| 10 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.66 | -21.0% | 77.8% | 27 | 8.7% |
| 11 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.65 | -21.7% | 62.7% | 67 | 9.2% |
| 12 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.61 | -36.3% | 52.7% | 93 | 9.0% |
| 13 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.6 | -36.9% | 69.7% | 33 | 10.7% |
| 14 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.74 | -12.8% | 91.7% | 12 | 6.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Dropbox lost money across the out-of-sample window in 411 of 411 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Dropbox, Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Dropbox’s signal flips
We track Dropbox daily. Its backtested best indicator, Stochastic (Daily), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.