The best indicator for Coinbase (COIN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Coinbase (COIN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Hull MA 100 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Coinbase (COIN) over ~5.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 55.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Coinbase (COIN) — beating buy-and-hold by 47.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 41.2% | 0.91 | -47.1% | 48.0% | 25 | 55.1% |
| 2 | Trend-Gated Asymmetric ✓ | Daily | 31.8% | 1.05 | -26.3% | 50.0% | 12 | 45.7% |
| 3 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 39.4% | 0.84 | -57.7% | 40.0% | 20 | 53.3% |
| 4 | Volume Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 32.4% | 0.84 | -42.4% | 52.3% | 44 | 46.3% |
| 5 | Keltner 20 Break ✓ | Daily | 22.8% | 0.8 | -26.0% | 62.1% | 29 | 36.7% |
| 6 | Ulcer Index | Daily | 30.0% | 0.76 | -43.7% | 40.5% | 37 | 43.9% |
| 7 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Weekly | 36.2% | 0.76 | -58.2% | 39.1% | 23 | 50.7% |
| 8 | Ultimate Osc (4,8,16) ✓ | Weekly | 32.3% | 0.74 | -59.1% | 40.0% | 25 | 46.7% |
| 9 | Center of Gravity | Weekly | 32.9% | 0.73 | -51.2% | 37.5% | 32 | 47.4% |
| 10 | True Strength Index ✓ | Daily | 28.9% | 0.72 | -69.1% | 32.6% | 46 | 42.8% |
| 11 | Chop Zone (EMA-34 angle) ✓ | Daily | 23.2% | 0.72 | -38.3% | 61.1% | 18 | 37.1% |
| 12 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 27.5% | 0.7 | -67.4% | 35.7% | 42 | 41.4% |
| 13 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Weekly | 29.8% | 0.7 | -55.3% | 46.7% | 15 | 44.2% |
| 14 | Relative Volatility Index | Daily | 25.4% | 0.69 | -60.6% | 40.8% | 76 | 39.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Coinbase (COIN), Hull MA 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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