The best indicator for Coinbase (COIN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Coinbase (COIN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Coinbase (COIN) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Hull MA 100 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Coinbase (COIN) over ~5.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 55.1% CAGR.
Coinbase (COIN) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Coinbase (COIN) — beating buy-and-hold by 47.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 41.2% | 0.91 | -47.1% | 48.0% | 25 | 55.1% |
| 2 | Trend-Gated Asymmetric ✓ | Daily | 31.8% | 1.05 | -26.3% | 50.0% | 12 | 45.7% |
| 3 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 39.4% | 0.84 | -57.7% | 40.0% | 20 | 53.3% |
| 4 | Volume Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 32.4% | 0.84 | -42.4% | 52.3% | 44 | 46.3% |
| 5 | Keltner 20 Break ✓ | Daily | 22.8% | 0.8 | -26.0% | 62.1% | 29 | 36.7% |
| 6 | Ulcer Index | Daily | 30.0% | 0.76 | -43.7% | 40.5% | 37 | 43.9% |
| 7 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Weekly | 36.2% | 0.76 | -58.2% | 39.1% | 23 | 50.7% |
| 8 | Ultimate Osc (4,8,16) ✓ | Weekly | 32.3% | 0.74 | -59.1% | 40.0% | 25 | 46.7% |
| 9 | Center of Gravity | Weekly | 32.9% | 0.73 | -51.2% | 37.5% | 32 | 47.4% |
| 10 | True Strength Index ✓ | Daily | 28.9% | 0.72 | -69.1% | 32.6% | 46 | 42.8% |
| 11 | Chop Zone (EMA-34 angle) ✓ | Daily | 23.2% | 0.72 | -38.3% | 61.1% | 18 | 37.1% |
| 12 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 27.5% | 0.7 | -67.4% | 35.7% | 42 | 41.4% |
| 13 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Weekly | 29.8% | 0.7 | -55.3% | 46.7% | 15 | 44.2% |
| 14 | Relative Volatility Index | Daily | 25.4% | 0.69 | -60.6% | 40.8% | 76 | 39.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Coinbase (COIN) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 269 of 269 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Coinbase (COIN), Hull MA 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Coinbase’s signal flips
We track Coinbase daily. Its backtested best indicator, Hull MA 100 Trend (Daily), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.