The best indicator for Capital One (COF)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Capital One (COF) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Capital One (COF) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Intraday Momentum Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Capital One (COF) over ~31.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR.
Capital One (COF) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 3 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Capital One (COF) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 16.5% | 0.65 | -61.8% | 78.9% | 90 | 3.4% |
| 2 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.58 | -50.8% | 49.1% | 114 | 2.2% |
| 3 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 15.0% | 0.54 | -68.2% | 35.3% | 17 | 2.0% |
| 4 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.52 | -68.1% | 52.7% | 894 | -0.8% |
| 5 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.52 | -58.8% | 68.2% | 371 | -2.2% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.5 | -70.2% | 74.0% | 127 | -1.4% |
| 7 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.5 | -60.1% | 73.9% | 111 | -2.4% |
| 8 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.5 | -52.6% | 48.3% | 116 | -0.5% |
| 9 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.47 | -68.4% | 65.2% | 396 | -3.4% |
| 10 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.47 | -70.9% | 66.4% | 247 | -2.7% |
| 11 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.46 | -58.9% | 47.4% | 57 | -3.5% |
| 12 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.46 | -80.5% | 76.5% | 34 | -2.0% |
| 13 | TRIX ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.46 | -75.4% | 50.0% | 44 | -4.1% |
| 14 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.46 | -81.5% | 54.3% | 339 | -2.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Capital One (COF)
22 of 690 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Capital One (COF) outright. Another 168 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 320 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stochastic | 1 | 1.17× | 2.1× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 1 | 1.46× | 1.81× |
| ZLEMA 200 Trend | 1 | 1.46× | 2.88× |
| Chandelier Exit | 1 | 1.61× | 1.96× |
| Ehlers Reflex | 1 | 1.63× | 2.55× |
| CCI | 1 | none needed | 1.98× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Capital One (COF), Intraday Momentum Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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