The best indicator for Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Cincinnati Financial (CINF) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Cincinnati Financial (CINF) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Donchian 20 Break
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Cincinnati Financial (CINF) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.1% CAGR.
Cincinnati Financial (CINF) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Cincinnati Financial (CINF) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.73 | -32.0% | 70.0% | 20 | -2.1% |
| 2 | Net Volume ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.71 | -53.3% | 50.0% | 106 | -2.9% |
| 3 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.71 | -42.7% | 66.7% | 24 | -3.4% |
| 4 | Liquidity Flow Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.71 | -53.3% | 50.0% | 106 | -2.9% |
| 5 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.69 | -48.9% | 66.7% | 24 | -2.7% |
| 6 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.68 | -38.2% | 52.4% | 82 | -2.7% |
| 7 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.68 | -39.8% | 66.7% | 39 | -3.5% |
| 8 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.72 | -45.1% | 92.9% | 14 | -2.1% |
| 9 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.67 | -36.3% | 72.0% | 25 | -3.0% |
| 10 | Williams Alligator ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.67 | -47.1% | 61.3% | 119 | -4.3% |
| 11 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.66 | -50.9% | 51.6% | 31 | -3.3% |
| 12 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.66 | -40.2% | 53.6% | 28 | -3.4% |
| 13 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.65 | -72.8% | 47.3% | 150 | -3.8% |
| 14 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.65 | -58.4% | 51.1% | 45 | -4.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
0 of 698 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Cincinnati Financial (CINF) outright. Another 241 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 344 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| T3 10/40 Cross | — | 1.29× | 3.64× |
| SMA 10/40 Cross | — | 1.3× | 3.45× |
| WMA 20/50 Cross | — | 1.48× | 3.06× |
| KAMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.5× | 3.21× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.5× | 2.06× |
| QQE | — | 1.61× | 1.72× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Cincinnati Financial (CINF), Donchian 20 Break on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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