The best indicator for Ciena (CIEN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ciena (CIEN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Ciena (CIEN) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
TRIX (15)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ciena (CIEN) over ~29.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.5% CAGR.
Ciena (CIEN) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Ciena (CIEN) — beating buy-and-hold by 4.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Daily | 15.0% | 0.54 | -81.7% | 43.9% | 82 | 11.5% |
| 2 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.53 | -84.6% | 53.1% | 162 | 11.6% |
| 3 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 12.9% | 0.5 | -82.3% | 45.3% | 64 | 9.5% |
| 4 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.49 | -80.1% | 46.1% | 89 | 9.0% |
| 5 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.49 | -79.2% | 35.3% | 68 | 9.3% |
| 6 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.49 | -82.4% | 46.4% | 69 | 9.0% |
| 7 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.48 | -79.0% | 47.3% | 74 | 8.5% |
| 8 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.1% | 0.48 | -70.4% | 47.8% | 67 | 8.7% |
| 9 | Triangular Hull MA ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.48 | -74.4% | 41.9% | 93 | 8.3% |
| 10 | Three White Soldiers ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.48 | -52.0% | 57.3% | 75 | 7.8% |
| 11 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.48 | -92.6% | 53.3% | 30 | 9.1% |
| 12 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.47 | -88.8% | 41.6% | 161 | 8.4% |
| 13 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.47 | -75.2% | 43.8% | 73 | 8.2% |
| 14 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.47 | -74.9% | 46.6% | 58 | 8.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Ciena (CIEN)
0 of 694 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Ciena (CIEN) outright. Another 270 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 391 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum (50) | — | 1.32× | 2.29× |
| Premier Stochastic | — | 1.36× | 2.37× |
| Vegas Tunnel | — | 1.37× | 2.11× |
| ROC (60) | — | 1.37× | 2.28× |
| Negative Volume Index | — | 1.38× | 2.27× |
| QQE | — | 1.39× | 1.88× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Ciena (CIEN), TRIX (15) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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