The best indicator for Church & Dwight (CHD)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Church & Dwight (CHD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Church & Dwight (CHD) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Intraday Momentum Index
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Church & Dwight (CHD) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.0% CAGR.
Church & Dwight (CHD) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Church & Dwight (CHD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.72 | -24.0% | 96.2% | 26 | -8.0% |
| 2 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.66 | -25.8% | 94.3% | 35 | -6.9% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.65 | -47.3% | 76.8% | 190 | -5.2% |
| 4 | SMC: Equal Highs / Lows ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.65 | -39.7% | 62.5% | 16 | -3.4% |
| 5 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.6% | 0.63 | -54.8% | 28.9% | 38 | -2.1% |
| 6 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.63 | -51.5% | 36.2% | 69 | -2.3% |
| 7 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.63 | -48.2% | 39.5% | 38 | -3.5% |
| 8 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.63 | -48.2% | 39.5% | 38 | -3.6% |
| 9 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.62 | -27.9% | 93.3% | 45 | -8.2% |
| 10 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.62 | -24.2% | 87.1% | 31 | -6.9% |
| 11 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.61 | -25.8% | 85.7% | 42 | -7.7% |
| 12 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.6 | -40.3% | 55.2% | 105 | -5.4% |
| 13 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.6 | -45.9% | 60.0% | 15 | -3.9% |
| 14 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Daily | 10.0% | 0.59 | -37.5% | 59.3% | 108 | -5.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Church & Dwight (CHD)
0 of 718 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Church & Dwight (CHD) outright. Another 300 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 286 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ehlers Reflex | — | 1.35× | 5.64× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.43× | 3.52× |
| QQE | — | 1.49× | 3.08× |
| Connors RSI | — | 1.51× | 3.52× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | — | 1.58× | 4.31× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.6× | 4.49× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Church & Dwight (CHD), Intraday Momentum Index on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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