The best indicator for Chubb Limited (CB)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Chubb Limited (CB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Chubb Limited (CB) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Markov Regime
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Chubb Limited (CB) over ~33.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR.
Chubb Limited (CB) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Chubb Limited (CB) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 16.7% | 0.69 | -45.7% | 53.5% | 71 | 3.4% |
| 2 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.61 | -49.9% | 74.2% | 124 | -1.7% |
| 3 | Markov Regime (Confirmed) ✓ | Weekly | 12.7% | 0.6 | -45.7% | 54.2% | 179 | -0.6% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 11.2% | 0.58 | -49.4% | 76.6% | 137 | -2.1% |
| 5 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.58 | -33.8% | 60.7% | 28 | -4.6% |
| 6 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.58 | -32.7% | 62.5% | 16 | -3.8% |
| 7 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.57 | -42.6% | 64.7% | 17 | -3.9% |
| 8 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.61 | -22.3% | 100.0% | 14 | -4.9% |
| 9 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.1% | 0.56 | -64.2% | 35.3% | 17 | -0.3% |
| 10 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.56 | -32.7% | 57.9% | 19 | -3.8% |
| 11 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.56 | -34.7% | 87.5% | 24 | -4.9% |
| 12 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.55 | -49.0% | 77.0% | 113 | -3.8% |
| 13 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.55 | -28.4% | 61.0% | 41 | -6.0% |
| 14 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.55 | -47.0% | 60.3% | 126 | -4.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Chubb Limited (CB)
0 of 675 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Chubb Limited (CB) outright. Another 214 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 199 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRAMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.68× | 3.93× |
| Momentum (50) | — | 1.77× | 4.37× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.8× | 2.87× |
| Pivot Points (Standard) | — | 1.99× | 3.49× |
| Camarilla Pivots | — | 2.02× | 3.83× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | — | 2.03× | 3.66× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Chubb Limited (CB), Markov Regime on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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