The best indicator for Conagra Brands (CAG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Conagra Brands (CAG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Conagra Brands (CAG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Relative Volatility Index
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Conagra Brands (CAG) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.
Conagra Brands (CAG) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Conagra Brands (CAG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.53 | -52.7% | 55.5% | 137 | -1.2% |
| 2 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.53 | -44.7% | 67.8% | 118 | -2.7% |
| 3 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.52 | -44.6% | 60.5% | 129 | -1.6% |
| 4 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.48 | -48.9% | 47.6% | 21 | -2.8% |
| 5 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.47 | -47.1% | 52.4% | 21 | -2.9% |
| 6 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.46 | -48.3% | 75.9% | 79 | -4.7% |
| 7 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.45 | -57.1% | 57.1% | 21 | -3.4% |
| 8 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.44 | -41.4% | 82.1% | 67 | -5.2% |
| 9 | Chaikin Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.44 | -58.1% | 52.0% | 100 | -3.4% |
| 10 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.44 | -58.6% | 50.0% | 26 | -3.4% |
| 11 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.44 | -63.0% | 50.6% | 156 | -2.8% |
| 12 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.43 | -62.5% | 42.9% | 49 | -2.4% |
| 13 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.43 | -42.7% | 77.4% | 31 | -5.3% |
| 14 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.43 | -68.2% | 49.6% | 139 | -3.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Conagra Brands (CAG)
79 of 715 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Conagra Brands (CAG) outright. Another 18 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 17 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEMA 20/50 Cross | 2 | none needed | 2.5× |
| DeMarker | 2 | none needed | 2.13× |
| Ehlers Roofing Filter | 2 | none needed | 2.84× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 2.78× |
| T3 8/21 Cross | 2 | none needed | 2.52× |
| SMA 50/200 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.62× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Conagra Brands (CAG), Relative Volatility Index on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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