The best indicator for Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Negative Volume Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) over ~30.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.66 | -35.3% | 52.5% | 59 | -0.2% |
| 2 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.64 | -32.7% | 59.4% | 32 | -1.2% |
| 3 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.64 | -27.3% | 62.8% | 43 | -3.8% |
| 4 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.6 | -37.8% | 63.2% | 19 | -1.6% |
| 5 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.58 | -43.1% | 44.9% | 49 | -1.4% |
| 6 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.58 | -37.6% | 64.3% | 28 | -2.0% |
| 7 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.58 | -36.5% | 64.7% | 17 | -2.3% |
| 8 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.56 | -38.4% | 61.1% | 18 | -2.7% |
| 9 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.56 | -36.8% | 59.1% | 22 | -2.4% |
| 10 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.55 | -26.7% | 71.7% | 127 | -4.0% |
| 11 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.55 | -26.8% | 54.5% | 224 | -3.4% |
| 12 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.55 | -27.9% | 55.6% | 241 | -3.2% |
| 13 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.54 | -32.5% | 57.7% | 52 | -3.1% |
| 14 | Williams Alligator ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.54 | -34.0% | 69.3% | 75 | -3.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B), Negative Volume Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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