The best indicator for Booking Holdings (BKNG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Booking Holdings (BKNG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Booking Holdings (BKNG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Markov Regime
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Booking Holdings (BKNG) over ~27.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.3% CAGR.
Booking Holdings (BKNG) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 3 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Booking Holdings (BKNG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 19.5% | 0.81 | -39.4% | 63.0% | 81 | 11.3% |
| 2 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.68 | -40.9% | 53.8% | 26 | 7.1% |
| 3 | VWAP Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.65 | -54.0% | 42.0% | 69 | 10.1% |
| 4 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.62 | -62.6% | 41.2% | 17 | 7.1% |
| 5 | RSI (50) | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.62 | -64.0% | 37.0% | 27 | 5.9% |
| 6 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 16.8% | 0.61 | -63.2% | 45.2% | 31 | 8.6% |
| 7 | ALMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 16.3% | 0.61 | -59.2% | 40.0% | 75 | 8.1% |
| 8 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Weekly | 16.0% | 0.61 | -58.8% | 41.5% | 41 | 7.9% |
| 9 | Chop Zone (EMA-34 angle) ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.61 | -31.4% | 45.5% | 33 | 3.0% |
| 10 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.6 | -87.0% | 21.7% | 23 | 11.2% |
| 11 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 16.5% | 0.6 | -57.1% | 43.3% | 67 | 8.4% |
| 12 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.8% | 0.6 | -65.3% | 51.4% | 35 | 6.7% |
| 13 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 16.4% | 0.59 | -79.0% | 56.2% | 32 | 8.3% |
| 14 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Weekly | 15.9% | 0.59 | -56.6% | 43.3% | 67 | 7.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Booking Holdings (BKNG)
27 of 670 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Booking Holdings (BKNG) outright. Another 107 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 151 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | 1.22× | 3.24× |
| Williams %R | 2 | none needed | 2.65× |
| MA Envelope | 2 | none needed | 3.03× |
| QQE | 1 | 1.22× | 2.09× |
| Stochastic RSI | 1 | 1.23× | 3.03× |
| RSI Mean-Reversion | 1 | none needed | 2.99× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Booking Holdings (BKNG), Markov Regime on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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