The best indicator for Booking Holdings (BKNG)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Booking Holdings (BKNG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Markov Regime
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Booking Holdings (BKNG) over ~27.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 3 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Booking Holdings (BKNG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 19.5% | 0.81 | -39.4% | 62.0% | 79 | 11.2% |
| 2 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.8% | 0.71 | -40.9% | 56.0% | 25 | 7.6% |
| 3 | VWAP Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.4% | 0.65 | -54.0% | 42.6% | 68 | 10.1% |
| 4 | RSI (50) | Weekly | 14.8% | 0.64 | -64.0% | 37.5% | 24 | 6.5% |
| 5 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.63 | -62.6% | 41.2% | 17 | 7.2% |
| 6 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 17.4% | 0.62 | -63.2% | 46.7% | 30 | 9.1% |
| 7 | ALMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 16.6% | 0.62 | -59.2% | 40.5% | 74 | 8.4% |
| 8 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Weekly | 16.4% | 0.62 | -58.8% | 42.5% | 40 | 8.1% |
| 9 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 16.9% | 0.61 | -57.1% | 43.9% | 66 | 8.6% |
| 10 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 0.61 | -79.0% | 58.1% | 31 | 9.0% |
| 11 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.6% | 0.6 | -87.0% | 21.7% | 23 | 11.3% |
| 12 | T3 15/60 Cross | Daily | 17.1% | 0.6 | -80.0% | 37.7% | 53 | 8.8% |
| 13 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.0% | 0.6 | -65.3% | 51.4% | 35 | 6.7% |
| 14 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 16.3% | 0.59 | -63.4% | 36.6% | 41 | 8.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Booking Holdings (BKNG), Markov Regime on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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