The best indicator for Baidu
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Baidu history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Baidu stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Parabolic SAR (fast)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Baidu over ~21.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.1% CAGR.
Baidu on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 18.7% | 0.68 | -68.9% | 46.6% | 73 | 9.1% |
| 2 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.65 | -50.2% | 60.0% | 15 | 5.0% |
| 3 | CCI (50) ✓ | Daily | 17.1% | 0.63 | -79.9% | 32.5% | 151 | 7.4% |
| 4 | ADXR ✓ | Weekly | 15.9% | 0.63 | -53.7% | 50.0% | 28 | 6.2% |
| 5 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 15.3% | 0.62 | -55.3% | 36.9% | 160 | 5.6% |
| 6 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 16.7% | 0.62 | -73.3% | 36.7% | 49 | 7.0% |
| 7 | Historical Volatility Regime | Daily | 12.6% | 0.6 | -48.4% | 46.6% | 176 | 2.8% |
| 8 | Hull MA Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.59 | -77.5% | 37.7% | 53 | 5.6% |
| 9 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.59 | -51.8% | 38.1% | 21 | 5.9% |
| 10 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.58 | -77.3% | 32.4% | 71 | 5.6% |
| 11 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.58 | -80.8% | 35.9% | 78 | 5.5% |
| 12 | ALMA 100 Trend | Daily | 14.5% | 0.58 | -72.2% | 41.4% | 145 | 4.8% |
| 13 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.58 | -73.3% | 38.3% | 81 | 5.5% |
| 14 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.3% | 0.57 | -64.9% | 45.0% | 100 | 5.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Baidu
127 of 622 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Baidu outright. Another 15 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 31 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williams %R | 2 | none needed | 2.22× |
| Stochastic RSI | 2 | none needed | 2.59× |
| Fisher Transform | 2 | none needed | 1.7× |
| Relative Volatility Index | 2 | none needed | 1.47× |
| KDJ | 2 | none needed | 1.79× |
| MA Envelope | 2 | none needed | 2.28× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Baidu, Parabolic SAR (fast) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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