The best indicator for Barclays
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Barclays history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Barclays stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Ultimate Oscillator
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Barclays over ~39.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.3% CAGR.
Barclays on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 11.6% | 0.55 | -57.0% | 75.0% | 52 | 3.3% |
| 2 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.46 | -69.4% | 40.5% | 84 | 0.6% |
| 3 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.44 | -71.5% | 59.4% | 32 | -0.7% |
| 4 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.41 | -81.8% | 56.7% | 323 | -0.2% |
| 5 | Delta Volume (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.41 | -78.5% | 51.6% | 95 | -0.9% |
| 6 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.4 | -73.7% | 71.3% | 202 | -0.7% |
| 7 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.4 | -64.6% | 64.1% | 306 | -1.3% |
| 8 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.4 | -86.1% | 51.9% | 104 | -1.3% |
| 9 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.39 | -93.2% | 44.1% | 118 | 0.0% |
| 10 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 6.5% | 0.38 | -69.8% | 65.1% | 109 | -1.8% |
| 11 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.38 | -81.2% | 50.0% | 22 | -0.8% |
| 12 | VIDYA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.4 | -80.6% | 28.6% | 14 | -1.3% |
| 13 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.4% | 0.37 | -71.7% | 31.6% | 38 | -1.8% |
| 14 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.37 | -81.8% | 58.5% | 347 | -1.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Barclays
34 of 701 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Barclays outright. Another 156 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 318 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCI | 2 | none needed | 2.1× |
| SMC: Fair Value Gap | 1 | 1.14× | 2.37× |
| Ehlers Roofing Filter | 1 | 1.3× | 2.01× |
| DeMarker | 1 | 1.69× | 1.93× |
| HMA 9/21 Cross | 1 | 1.79× | 2.26× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 2.08× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Barclays, Ultimate Oscillator on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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