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The best indicator for Best Buy (BBY)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Best Buy (BBY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — HMA 9/21 Cross (Weekly) is out of the market. Signal computed on 2026-09-07, 3 days behind the price data on this page (it is rebuilt on a separate schedule).
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Key levels · as of 2026-09-10

Where Best Buy (BBY) stands

88.09
last daily close (2026-09-10)
70.57
200-day simple moving average price 24.8% above
84.71
50-day simple moving average price 4.0% above
54.79–90.27
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Trend · Weekly

HMA 9/21 Cross

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Best Buy (BBY) over ~41.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.0% CAGR.

24.5%
CAGR
0.79
Sharpe
-53.7%
Max DD
57.2%
Win rate
3.49
Profit factor
+7.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Best Buy (BBY) on the weekly chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

MACDDonchian Breakout

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Best Buy (BBY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

11.2%
CAGR
0.55
Sharpe
40.3%
Win rate
243
Trades
-6.4%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
HMA 9/21 Cross
+7.0% · Sharpe 0.79
Daily
DEMA 20/50 Cross
+5.4% · Sharpe 0.78
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1HMA 9/21 Cross Weekly24.5%0.79-53.7%57.2%1387.0%
2DEMA 20/50 Cross Daily23.0%0.78-62.1%47.0%1685.4%
3Stochastic Slow (21,5) Weekly22.3%0.76-63.0%52.1%1464.8%
4Stochastic (20,5) Weekly22.5%0.76-60.8%52.7%1465.0%
5Relative Vigor Index Weekly21.9%0.75-52.9%50.0%1544.4%
6Least Squares MA Weekly22.2%0.75-51.4%52.4%1704.7%
7Ehlers Relative Vigor Weekly21.8%0.75-54.8%51.2%1724.3%
8FRAMA 200 Trend Daily21.1%0.74-67.8%40.2%7933.5%
9Williams %R (50) Daily21.4%0.74-65.1%37.1%2863.7%
10McGinley Dynamic Daily22.8%0.73-63.3%33.6%4535.2%
11On-Balance VolumeDaily21.1%0.72-83.5%41.3%6323.5%
12SMA 20/50 Cross Daily19.7%0.7-77.8%51.0%1042.1%
13ALMA 100 Trend Daily18.8%0.7-65.4%38.0%2711.2%
14Volume Zone OscillatorDaily19.0%0.69-72.3%44.6%9411.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

The leverage question

What it would take to beat buy & hold on Best Buy (BBY)

5 of 713 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Best Buy (BBY) outright. Another 56 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 281 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.

IndicatorBeats B&H unlevered Leverage neededLeverage survived
Demand Index2none needed2.38×
MA Envelope12.38×2.64×
Detrended Price Osc.1none needed2.26×
Fibonacci Pivots1none needed2.1×
Projection Bands1.05×2.77×
Williams %R1.25×2.43×

Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way

What this means

For Best Buy (BBY), HMA 9/21 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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