The best indicator for Best Buy (BBY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Best Buy (BBY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Best Buy (BBY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
HMA 9/21 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Best Buy (BBY) over ~41.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.1% CAGR.
Best Buy (BBY) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Best Buy (BBY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMA 9/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 25.2% | 0.81 | -54.2% | 58.0% | 138 | 7.1% |
| 2 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Weekly | 23.6% | 0.79 | -56.8% | 51.7% | 147 | 5.6% |
| 3 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 23.1% | 0.78 | -62.1% | 46.7% | 169 | 5.0% |
| 4 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Weekly | 23.2% | 0.78 | -58.1% | 53.1% | 147 | 5.1% |
| 5 | Relative Vigor Index ✓ | Weekly | 22.2% | 0.75 | -52.9% | 51.0% | 155 | 4.1% |
| 6 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Weekly | 22.3% | 0.75 | -54.6% | 52.6% | 173 | 4.3% |
| 7 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Weekly | 21.8% | 0.75 | -54.8% | 51.7% | 174 | 3.7% |
| 8 | FRAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 21.4% | 0.74 | -67.8% | 40.3% | 795 | 3.3% |
| 9 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Daily | 23.1% | 0.73 | -63.3% | 33.7% | 454 | 5.0% |
| 10 | Williams %R (50) ✓ | Daily | 21.1% | 0.73 | -65.1% | 38.1% | 289 | 3.0% |
| 11 | On-Balance Volume | Daily | 21.4% | 0.72 | -83.5% | 41.3% | 635 | 3.3% |
| 12 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 20.2% | 0.71 | -77.8% | 51.0% | 104 | 2.1% |
| 13 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.1% | 0.71 | -65.4% | 38.5% | 273 | 1.0% |
| 14 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 19.4% | 0.7 | -72.3% | 44.7% | 947 | 1.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Best Buy (BBY)
5 of 713 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Best Buy (BBY) outright. Another 56 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 281 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | 2 | none needed | 2.38× |
| MA Envelope | 1 | 2.38× | 2.64× |
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | none needed | 2.26× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | 1 | none needed | 2.1× |
| Projection Bands | — | 1.05× | 2.77× |
| Williams %R | — | 1.25× | 2.43× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Best Buy (BBY), HMA 9/21 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Best Buy’s signal flips
We track Best Buy daily. Its backtested best indicator, HMA 9/21 Cross (Weekly), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.