The best indicator for AutoZone (AZO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real AutoZone (AZO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where AutoZone (AZO) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Markov Regime
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for AutoZone (AZO) over ~35.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.2% CAGR.
AutoZone (AZO) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for AutoZone (AZO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 12.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 15.6% | 0.66 | -66.3% | 63.6% | 99 | -3.2% |
| 2 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.65 | -33.9% | 78.6% | 56 | -9.4% |
| 3 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.65 | -69.8% | 39.5% | 43 | -3.4% |
| 4 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.64 | -57.2% | 43.0% | 519 | -3.6% |
| 5 | Williams %R (7) ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.63 | -45.4% | 54.1% | 159 | -7.2% |
| 6 | MBFX Timing ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.63 | -45.4% | 54.1% | 159 | -7.2% |
| 7 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 13.9% | 0.62 | -53.7% | 61.5% | 109 | -4.9% |
| 8 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.6 | -61.5% | 51.9% | 52 | -7.7% |
| 9 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.6 | -48.7% | 56.8% | 37 | -7.5% |
| 10 | Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.6 | -54.6% | 48.8% | 170 | -7.8% |
| 11 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.59 | -34.3% | 79.4% | 97 | -9.0% |
| 12 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.58 | -54.1% | 64.7% | 17 | -8.1% |
| 13 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.57 | -46.3% | 55.3% | 170 | -8.7% |
| 14 | DMI Direction ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.57 | -61.4% | 47.3% | 74 | -8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on AutoZone (AZO)
1 of 669 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on AutoZone (AZO) outright. Another 326 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 270 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAMA 30 Trend | 1 | 2.98× | 3.9× |
| Balance of Power | — | 1.34× | 3.49× |
| QQE | — | 1.38× | 2.13× |
| Gann HiLo Activator | — | 1.43× | 3.86× |
| Volatility Stop (ATR) | — | 1.49× | 4.21× |
| Ichimoku TK Cross | — | 1.52× | 3.82× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For AutoZone (AZO), Markov Regime on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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