The best indicator for Axon Enterprise (AXON)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Axon Enterprise (AXON) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Axon Enterprise (AXON) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
DEMA 100 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Axon Enterprise (AXON) over ~24.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 6.8% CAGR.
Axon Enterprise (AXON) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Axon Enterprise (AXON) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 39.1% | 1.05 | -47.2% | 42.9% | 184 | 6.8% |
| 2 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 41.0% | 1.01 | -51.3% | 40.6% | 239 | 8.7% |
| 3 | Median MA ✓ | Daily | 34.5% | 1.0 | -51.1% | 41.8% | 404 | 2.2% |
| 4 | Donchian 55/20 ✓ | Daily | 35.3% | 0.99 | -54.6% | 56.4% | 39 | 3.0% |
| 5 | Hull MA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 33.6% | 0.98 | -63.3% | 39.4% | 94 | 1.4% |
| 6 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 34.8% | 0.96 | -60.1% | 42.4% | 158 | 2.5% |
| 7 | ADXR ✓ | Daily | 35.6% | 0.96 | -69.5% | 43.7% | 183 | 3.4% |
| 8 | Keltner 50 (x2.0) ✓ | Daily | 30.6% | 0.96 | -50.5% | 43.0% | 186 | -1.7% |
| 9 | TEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 34.1% | 0.96 | -62.5% | 49.4% | 83 | 2.3% |
| 10 | ZLEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 35.6% | 0.96 | -65.3% | 40.3% | 72 | 3.8% |
| 11 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Daily | 36.9% | 0.96 | -64.1% | 53.7% | 41 | 4.7% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 34.5% | 0.95 | -60.4% | 52.3% | 86 | 2.3% |
| 13 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 37.2% | 0.94 | -48.9% | 41.7% | 379 | 4.9% |
| 14 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Daily | 37.1% | 0.94 | -67.0% | 49.3% | 67 | 4.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Axon Enterprise (AXON)
4 of 626 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Axon Enterprise (AXON) outright. Another 217 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 379 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 2 | none needed | 1.8× |
| Stoch RSI (fast) | 1 | none needed | 2.06× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | 1 | none needed | 1.96× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.97× | 2.23× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.19× | 1.68× |
| MACD | — | 1.4× | 2.03× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Axon Enterprise (AXON), DEMA 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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