The best indicator for American Water Works (AWK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real American Water Works (AWK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where American Water Works (AWK) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for American Water Works (AWK) over ~18.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.
American Water Works (AWK) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for American Water Works (AWK) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.78 | -16.5% | 68.6% | 121 | -2.6% |
| 2 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.73 | -34.2% | 45.5% | 22 | 0.2% |
| 3 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.69 | -20.7% | 76.5% | 68 | -2.8% |
| 4 | Markov Regime | Daily | 12.5% | 0.69 | -39.4% | 70.6% | 136 | -0.7% |
| 5 | Tweezer Bottom ✓ | Weekly | 4.5% | 0.69 | -10.9% | 60.9% | 23 | -8.5% |
| 6 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.68 | -18.7% | 78.4% | 51 | -4.5% |
| 7 | ROC (60) | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.68 | -47.1% | 38.9% | 18 | -1.9% |
| 8 | Momentum (50) | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.68 | -40.8% | 55.6% | 18 | -2.2% |
| 9 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.65 | -29.9% | 92.0% | 25 | -5.0% |
| 10 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.65 | -17.5% | 75.0% | 28 | -5.7% |
| 11 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.64 | -26.3% | 63.2% | 106 | -4.0% |
| 12 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.68 | -12.6% | 100.0% | 14 | -5.9% |
| 13 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.68 | -12.6% | 100.0% | 14 | -5.9% |
| 14 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.63 | -17.3% | 88.5% | 26 | -6.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on American Water Works (AWK) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 642 of 642 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For American Water Works (AWK), Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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