The best indicator for AvalonBay Communities (AVB)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real AvalonBay Communities (AVB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TRIMA 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for AvalonBay Communities (AVB) over ~32.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for AvalonBay Communities (AVB) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.73 | -36.1% | 44.1% | 34 | -0.3% |
| 2 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.72 | -39.4% | 66.7% | 27 | 0.2% |
| 3 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.68 | -40.0% | 74.1% | 27 | -0.7% |
| 4 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.67 | -42.3% | 50.0% | 26 | -0.6% |
| 5 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -39.1% | 52.1% | 48 | -0.6% |
| 6 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -39.1% | 52.1% | 48 | -0.6% |
| 7 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -39.1% | 52.1% | 48 | -0.6% |
| 8 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.66 | -32.3% | 57.7% | 26 | -2.2% |
| 9 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.65 | -37.8% | 37.5% | 32 | -1.3% |
| 10 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.74 | -33.3% | 69.2% | 13 | 0.4% |
| 11 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.64 | -35.7% | 40.4% | 57 | -1.6% |
| 12 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.68 | -36.1% | 57.1% | 14 | -0.3% |
| 13 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.63 | -33.3% | 55.0% | 20 | -2.2% |
| 14 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.63 | -44.0% | 56.2% | 16 | -0.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For AvalonBay Communities (AVB), TRIMA 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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