The best indicator for AvalonBay Communities (AVB)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real AvalonBay Communities (AVB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where AvalonBay Communities (AVB) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
TRIMA 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for AvalonBay Communities (AVB) over ~32.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.3% CAGR.
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for AvalonBay Communities (AVB) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.73 | -36.1% | 44.1% | 34 | -0.3% |
| 2 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.72 | -39.4% | 66.7% | 27 | 0.2% |
| 3 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.68 | -40.0% | 74.1% | 27 | -0.7% |
| 4 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.67 | -42.3% | 50.0% | 26 | -0.6% |
| 5 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -39.1% | 52.1% | 48 | -0.6% |
| 6 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -39.1% | 52.1% | 48 | -0.6% |
| 7 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -39.1% | 52.1% | 48 | -0.6% |
| 8 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.66 | -32.3% | 57.7% | 26 | -2.2% |
| 9 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.65 | -37.8% | 37.5% | 32 | -1.3% |
| 10 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.74 | -33.3% | 69.2% | 13 | 0.4% |
| 11 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.64 | -35.7% | 40.4% | 57 | -1.6% |
| 12 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.68 | -36.1% | 57.1% | 14 | -0.3% |
| 13 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.63 | -33.3% | 55.0% | 20 | -2.2% |
| 14 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.63 | -44.0% | 56.2% | 16 | -0.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on AvalonBay Communities (AVB)
26 of 660 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on AvalonBay Communities (AVB) outright. Another 144 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 85 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markov Regime (Confirmed) | 2 | none needed | 3.93× |
| SMC: Fair Value Gap | 1 | 1.03× | 3.68× |
| Stochastic | 1 | none needed | 2.9× |
| Stochastic Momentum Index | 1 | none needed | 5.92× |
| Hull Suite | 1 | none needed | 3.25× |
| Andean Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 3.43× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For AvalonBay Communities (AVB), TRIMA 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when AvalonBay Communities’s signal flips
We track AvalonBay Communities daily. We'll email you the moment its best indicator flips long, flat, or short. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.