The best indicator for Apollo Global Management (APO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Apollo Global Management (APO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Apollo Global Management (APO) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
DeMarker (21)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Apollo Global Management (APO) over ~15.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR.
Apollo Global Management (APO) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Apollo Global Management (APO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 18.7% | 0.86 | -39.6% | 49.3% | 150 | -1.4% |
| 2 | HMA 9/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 19.8% | 0.86 | -33.2% | 52.9% | 51 | 0.0% |
| 3 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Daily | 19.3% | 0.85 | -28.8% | 62.1% | 29 | -0.8% |
| 4 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 18.0% | 0.84 | -31.3% | 44.1% | 161 | -2.1% |
| 5 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 20.8% | 0.84 | -42.9% | 39.2% | 102 | 0.7% |
| 6 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 17.0% | 0.84 | -45.4% | 76.0% | 25 | -2.8% |
| 7 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Weekly | 18.5% | 0.83 | -26.2% | 48.2% | 56 | -1.4% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.82 | -45.9% | 40.0% | 30 | -1.5% |
| 9 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 18.5% | 0.82 | -37.9% | 56.8% | 37 | -1.6% |
| 10 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Daily | 18.1% | 0.82 | -38.3% | 53.8% | 39 | -2.0% |
| 11 | ROC (30) ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.81 | -44.4% | 46.1% | 128 | -2.4% |
| 12 | CMO (30) ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.81 | -44.4% | 46.1% | 128 | -2.4% |
| 13 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.81 | -44.4% | 46.1% | 128 | -2.4% |
| 14 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.78 | -44.6% | 43.2% | 220 | -2.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Apollo Global Management (APO)
48 of 574 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Apollo Global Management (APO) outright. Another 264 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 137 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connors RSI | 1 | 1.11× | 3.64× |
| QQE | 1 | 1.77× | 2.29× |
| DMI Direction | 1 | 2.04× | 3.76× |
| MACD-V | 1 | 3.34× | 3.68× |
| Rate of Change | 1 | 4.2× | 4.06× |
| Donchian Breakout | 1 | none needed | 4.5× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Apollo Global Management (APO), DeMarker (21) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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