The best indicator for Amazon (AMZN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Amazon (AMZN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Amazon (AMZN) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMC: Liquidity Sweep
On the 4-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Amazon (AMZN) over ~3.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.
Amazon (AMZN) on the 4-hour chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Amazon (AMZN) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | 4-Hour | 19.4% | 1.04 | -17.7% | 82.1% | 28 | 1.2% |
| 2 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 27.9% | 0.79 | -65.9% | 57.7% | 26 | -3.4% |
| 3 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 17.3% | 1.01 | -15.4% | 51.6% | 31 | -0.9% |
| 4 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 27.5% | 0.78 | -70.1% | 48.0% | 25 | -3.9% |
| 5 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 26.4% | 0.77 | -59.5% | 48.1% | 27 | -4.9% |
| 6 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Weekly | 26.6% | 0.77 | -62.8% | 45.3% | 53 | -4.7% |
| 7 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 25.6% | 0.77 | -69.4% | 70.0% | 20 | -5.8% |
| 8 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 25.6% | 0.76 | -67.6% | 42.3% | 26 | -5.4% |
| 9 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 25.4% | 0.76 | -60.8% | 50.0% | 26 | -6.0% |
| 10 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 26.1% | 0.76 | -61.5% | 37.5% | 40 | -5.2% |
| 11 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 25.1% | 0.75 | -63.1% | 57.1% | 35 | -6.3% |
| 12 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 25.8% | 0.75 | -54.6% | 48.9% | 45 | -5.5% |
| 13 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 24.8% | 0.74 | -71.4% | 46.2% | 52 | -6.5% |
| 14 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 24.3% | 0.74 | -68.6% | 56.5% | 23 | -7.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Amazon (AMZN)
138 of 1366 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Amazon (AMZN) outright. Another 459 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 351 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 4 | none needed | 3.42× |
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | 2 | 3.59× | 10.02× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | 1.84× | 3.74× |
| Accumulation/Distribution | 2 | 1.85× | 4.3× |
| LSMA 10/30 Cross | 2 | 1.44× | 5.55× |
| Twiggs Money Flow | 2 | 1.56× | 3.92× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Amazon (AMZN), SMC: Liquidity Sweep on the 4-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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