The best indicator for Amazon (AMZN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Amazon (AMZN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Amazon (AMZN) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Relative Momentum Index
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Amazon (AMZN) over ~29.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.4% CAGR.
Amazon (AMZN) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Amazon (AMZN) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 27.6% | 0.79 | -65.9% | 57.7% | 26 | -3.4% |
| 2 | Connors RSI ✓ | 4-Hour | 15.3% | 1.01 | -22.0% | 65.5% | 84 | -1.8% |
| 3 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 26.2% | 0.77 | -59.5% | 48.1% | 27 | -4.8% |
| 4 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 27.2% | 0.77 | -70.1% | 48.0% | 25 | -3.8% |
| 5 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 25.1% | 0.76 | -60.8% | 50.0% | 26 | -5.9% |
| 6 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 25.3% | 0.76 | -69.4% | 70.0% | 20 | -5.7% |
| 7 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 25.9% | 0.76 | -61.5% | 37.5% | 40 | -5.1% |
| 8 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Weekly | 25.5% | 0.75 | -62.8% | 45.5% | 55 | -5.5% |
| 9 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 24.8% | 0.75 | -63.1% | 57.1% | 35 | -6.2% |
| 10 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 25.6% | 0.75 | -54.6% | 48.9% | 45 | -5.5% |
| 11 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 24.5% | 0.74 | -67.6% | 40.7% | 27 | -6.1% |
| 12 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 24.1% | 0.74 | -68.6% | 56.5% | 23 | -7.0% |
| 13 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | 4-Hour | 17.1% | 0.94 | -17.7% | 78.6% | 28 | 0.1% |
| 14 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 27.9% | 0.73 | -91.0% | 43.7% | 430 | -2.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Amazon (AMZN)
138 of 1366 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Amazon (AMZN) outright. Another 459 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 351 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 4 | none needed | 3.42× |
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | 2 | 3.59× | 10.02× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | 1.84× | 3.74× |
| Accumulation/Distribution | 2 | 1.85× | 4.3× |
| LSMA 10/30 Cross | 2 | 1.44× | 5.55× |
| Twiggs Money Flow | 2 | 1.56× | 3.92× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Amazon (AMZN), Relative Momentum Index on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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