The best indicator for Align Technology (ALGN)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Align Technology (ALGN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMA 200 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Align Technology (ALGN) over ~25.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Align Technology (ALGN) — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 21.4% | 0.73 | -46.8% | 38.0% | 71 | 11.9% |
| 2 | Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 21.5% | 0.68 | -58.0% | 55.2% | 134 | 11.2% |
| 3 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 21.2% | 0.67 | -65.3% | 48.0% | 75 | 11.7% |
| 4 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 20.7% | 0.66 | -69.8% | 47.7% | 86 | 11.2% |
| 5 | RSI (50) ✓ | Daily | 19.0% | 0.66 | -57.6% | 37.1% | 124 | 9.5% |
| 6 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Daily | 20.7% | 0.66 | -64.0% | 52.9% | 68 | 11.2% |
| 7 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Weekly | 18.6% | 0.64 | -52.0% | 48.5% | 66 | 8.4% |
| 8 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.63 | -70.7% | 46.8% | 109 | 9.7% |
| 9 | ROC (30) ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.63 | -76.7% | 40.8% | 213 | 9.4% |
| 10 | CMO (30) ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.63 | -76.7% | 40.8% | 213 | 9.4% |
| 11 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.63 | -76.7% | 40.8% | 213 | 9.4% |
| 12 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.62 | -75.8% | 50.9% | 55 | 8.7% |
| 13 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Weekly | 18.8% | 0.62 | -74.7% | 48.3% | 87 | 8.5% |
| 14 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 17.0% | 0.62 | -47.6% | 40.4% | 47 | 6.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Align Technology (ALGN), SMA 200 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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