The best indicator for American Electric Power (AEP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real American Electric Power (AEP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where American Electric Power (AEP) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Trend Intensity Index
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for American Electric Power (AEP) over ~64.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.9% CAGR.
American Electric Power (AEP) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for American Electric Power (AEP) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.53 | -35.4% | 73.7% | 19 | -0.9% |
| 2 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.53 | -47.3% | 61.3% | 31 | -0.8% |
| 3 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.49 | -51.0% | 58.9% | 384 | -1.8% |
| 4 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.49 | -38.3% | 58.8% | 34 | -1.5% |
| 5 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.49 | -63.5% | 61.8% | 34 | -2.1% |
| 6 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.49 | -41.4% | 64.7% | 17 | -1.6% |
| 7 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.48 | -51.6% | 62.5% | 32 | -2.0% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.48 | -45.9% | 52.0% | 25 | -1.5% |
| 9 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.48 | -50.8% | 48.1% | 27 | -1.5% |
| 10 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.47 | -66.8% | 47.6% | 42 | -2.0% |
| 11 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.47 | -53.3% | 42.1% | 19 | -1.3% |
| 12 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.47 | -53.8% | 42.5% | 40 | -1.9% |
| 13 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.47 | -48.1% | 70.0% | 20 | -1.6% |
| 14 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.47 | -40.7% | 77.8% | 18 | -2.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on American Electric Power (AEP)
2 of 727 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on American Electric Power (AEP) outright. Another 202 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 384 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | none needed | 3.15× |
| Negative Volume Index | 1 | none needed | 3.03× |
| QQE | — | 1.5× | 1.93× |
| Projection Bands | — | 1.56× | 3.57× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.61× | 2.87× |
| KAMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.62× | 2.64× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For American Electric Power (AEP), Trend Intensity Index on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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