The best indicator for Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
LSMA 10/30 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) over ~46.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.57 | -43.6% | 51.6% | 95 | 0.1% |
| 2 | Hull MA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.55 | -35.8% | 55.3% | 103 | -1.0% |
| 3 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.52 | -39.2% | 48.9% | 137 | -1.0% |
| 4 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.52 | -41.3% | 53.3% | 150 | -1.0% |
| 5 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.51 | -51.8% | 57.5% | 80 | -1.6% |
| 6 | TEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.51 | -47.4% | 53.3% | 105 | -1.9% |
| 7 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.5 | -41.8% | 53.2% | 109 | -1.4% |
| 8 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.5 | -34.5% | 45.1% | 51 | -1.6% |
| 9 | A/D Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.5 | -41.8% | 53.2% | 109 | -1.4% |
| 10 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.49 | -45.1% | 44.0% | 125 | -1.6% |
| 11 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.49 | -40.6% | 53.5% | 159 | -1.8% |
| 12 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.48 | -39.0% | 50.0% | 104 | -1.8% |
| 13 | T3 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.48 | -48.3% | 49.4% | 83 | -2.1% |
| 14 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.48 | -47.0% | 53.9% | 102 | -2.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), LSMA 10/30 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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