The best indicator for Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
LSMA 10/30 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) over ~46.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.57 | -43.6% | 51.6% | 95 | 0.1% |
| 2 | Hull MA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.55 | -35.8% | 55.3% | 103 | -1.0% |
| 3 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.52 | -39.2% | 48.9% | 137 | -1.0% |
| 4 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.52 | -41.3% | 53.3% | 150 | -1.0% |
| 5 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.51 | -51.8% | 57.5% | 80 | -1.6% |
| 6 | TEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.51 | -47.4% | 53.3% | 105 | -1.9% |
| 7 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.5 | -41.8% | 53.2% | 109 | -1.4% |
| 8 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.5 | -34.5% | 45.1% | 51 | -1.6% |
| 9 | A/D Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.5 | -41.8% | 53.2% | 109 | -1.4% |
| 10 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.49 | -45.1% | 44.0% | 125 | -1.6% |
| 11 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.49 | -40.6% | 53.5% | 159 | -1.8% |
| 12 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.48 | -39.0% | 50.0% | 104 | -1.8% |
| 13 | T3 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.48 | -48.3% | 49.4% | 83 | -2.1% |
| 14 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.48 | -47.0% | 53.9% | 102 | -2.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
7 of 709 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) outright. Another 288 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 342 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vortex (7) | 1 | 2.09× | 2.88× |
| Chaikin Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 2.21× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | 1 | none needed | 1.98× |
| RSI (21) | 1 | none needed | 3.04× |
| A/D Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 2.21× |
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | none needed | 2.01× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), LSMA 10/30 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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