The best indicator for Apple Inc. (AAPL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Apple Inc. (AAPL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
LSMA 10/30 Cross
On the 4-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Apple Inc. (AAPL) over ~3.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Apple Inc. (AAPL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 17.4% | 1.17 | -13.5% | 58.7% | 63 | 6.2% |
| 2 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 22.7% | 0.84 | -54.8% | 54.2% | 120 | 3.4% |
| 3 | Relative Vigor Index ✓ | Weekly | 21.6% | 0.83 | -62.9% | 53.5% | 159 | 2.3% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 19.7% | 0.82 | -38.7% | 52.9% | 170 | 0.3% |
| 5 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 21.4% | 0.82 | -66.5% | 53.1% | 207 | 2.1% |
| 6 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 22.3% | 0.81 | -69.4% | 47.2% | 123 | 3.0% |
| 7 | FRAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 19.8% | 0.81 | -62.2% | 51.4% | 208 | 0.5% |
| 8 | Force Index ✓ | Weekly | 21.6% | 0.8 | -56.1% | 53.8% | 143 | 2.3% |
| 9 | T3 (Tillson) ✓ | Weekly | 21.1% | 0.8 | -52.9% | 49.3% | 152 | 1.8% |
| 10 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Weekly | 20.3% | 0.8 | -63.8% | 56.6% | 182 | 1.0% |
| 11 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 20.6% | 0.79 | -54.4% | 46.2% | 169 | 1.2% |
| 12 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Daily | 21.8% | 0.79 | -77.4% | 42.2% | 483 | 2.5% |
| 13 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 20.8% | 0.78 | -70.2% | 36.9% | 474 | 1.4% |
| 14 | CCI (30) ✓ | Daily | 20.5% | 0.78 | -51.8% | 38.7% | 406 | 1.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Apple Inc. (AAPL), LSMA 10/30 Cross on the 4-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Apple Inc.’s signal flips
We track Apple Inc. daily. Its backtested best indicator, LSMA 10/30 Cross (4-Hour), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.