Does anything beat buy & hold on Celestia?
Every setup we tested on Celestia — ranked out-of-sample, corrected for multiple testing, and forward-tracked in public from the day this page published. The honest answer is the headline.
The price feed for Celestia had bad bars: one-day price spikes that reverse the next day. Backtest results computed on those bars are not trustworthy, so we have taken them down. The backtest is being re-run on cleaned prices in the next monthly rebuild (November 2026), and no backtest figure for this asset is shown until then.
Since publication — including if it loses
Buy-and-hold is ahead so far — we publish that too. That is the point. Marked to market nightly from real prices, rules frozen at publication, as of 2026-10-27. Currently FLAT.
These are historical backtests of mechanical rules. They are educational research, not investment advice, not a recommendation, and not tailored to you. Educational information only — not investment advice. Hypothetical backtested results; past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk of loss.