The best indicator for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
CCI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) over ~46.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.58 | -43.7% | 76.0% | 233 | -4.2% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.58 | -41.4% | 56.1% | 497 | -3.2% |
| 3 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.57 | -36.3% | 55.6% | 90 | -2.9% |
| 4 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.56 | -52.2% | 58.1% | 43 | -2.4% |
| 5 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.55 | -35.3% | 59.0% | 39 | -4.0% |
| 6 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.55 | -36.4% | 50.8% | 59 | -3.8% |
| 7 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.54 | -50.0% | 63.6% | 33 | -3.0% |
| 8 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.54 | -51.2% | 48.2% | 112 | -2.3% |
| 9 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.53 | -54.4% | 45.2% | 42 | -3.5% |
| 10 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.53 | -40.9% | 76.9% | 26 | -3.4% |
| 11 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.53 | -43.1% | 54.5% | 101 | -3.4% |
| 12 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.52 | -49.6% | 67.4% | 46 | -4.0% |
| 13 | Ehlers Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.52 | -50.9% | 55.8% | 52 | -3.5% |
| 14 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.52 | -50.7% | 67.9% | 28 | -3.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
0 of 709 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) outright. Another 156 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 377 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | — | 1.28× | 2.72× |
| QQE | — | 1.34× | 2.43× |
| KAMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.58× | 3.38× |
| EMA 200 Trend | — | 1.62× | 2.15× |
| T3 200 Trend | — | 1.65× | 2.87× |
| TRIMA 200 Trend | — | 1.73× | 2.45× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), CCI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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