The best indicator for Tractor Supply (TSCO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Tractor Supply (TSCO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Tractor Supply (TSCO) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
ADXR
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Tractor Supply (TSCO) over ~32.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.9% CAGR.
Tractor Supply (TSCO) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Tractor Supply (TSCO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADXR ✓ | Weekly | 13.3% | 0.64 | -41.0% | 45.6% | 57 | -2.9% |
| 2 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.63 | -52.8% | 35.3% | 17 | -1.1% |
| 3 | DMI Direction ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.6 | -58.8% | 50.0% | 72 | -3.1% |
| 4 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.6 | -55.0% | 44.4% | 18 | -2.3% |
| 5 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.6 | -58.0% | 45.0% | 20 | -2.0% |
| 6 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 13.9% | 0.6 | -53.4% | 46.7% | 15 | -2.3% |
| 7 | CCI Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.59 | -49.8% | 44.6% | 65 | -3.2% |
| 8 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.59 | -69.2% | 33.3% | 24 | -0.7% |
| 9 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.59 | -69.3% | 47.8% | 90 | -1.3% |
| 10 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.59 | -59.6% | 66.7% | 15 | -3.1% |
| 11 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.58 | -45.0% | 46.7% | 60 | -5.0% |
| 12 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 12.7% | 0.58 | -57.8% | 46.3% | 41 | -3.5% |
| 13 | Heikin-Ashi + EMA ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.58 | -65.9% | 48.6% | 72 | -3.7% |
| 14 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.58 | -63.9% | 36.4% | 22 | -1.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Tractor Supply (TSCO)
7 of 670 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Tractor Supply (TSCO) outright. Another 310 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 243 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Transform | 1 | none needed | 2.79× |
| Relative Vigor Index | 1 | none needed | 3.06× |
| Zero-Lag LSMA | 1 | none needed | 2.39× |
| HMA 9/21 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.52× |
| Ehlers Relative Vigor | 1 | none needed | 2.9× |
| VIDYA 100 Trend | 1 | none needed | 2.67× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Tractor Supply (TSCO), ADXR on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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