The best indicator for S&P Global (SPGI)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real S&P Global (SPGI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where S&P Global (SPGI) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Momentum (50)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for S&P Global (SPGI) over ~53.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.3% CAGR.
S&P Global (SPGI) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for S&P Global (SPGI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.66 | -46.9% | 54.9% | 51 | -1.3% |
| 2 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.64 | -52.7% | 66.7% | 15 | -1.6% |
| 3 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.64 | -42.2% | 90.5% | 42 | -4.3% |
| 4 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.63 | -58.8% | 46.4% | 28 | -0.7% |
| 5 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.63 | -40.8% | 86.7% | 60 | -4.5% |
| 6 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.63 | -66.1% | 53.6% | 168 | 0.2% |
| 7 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.63 | -74.0% | 77.8% | 18 | 0.2% |
| 8 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.62 | -45.3% | 39.1% | 23 | -2.1% |
| 9 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.61 | -43.1% | 48.3% | 29 | -2.5% |
| 10 | VIDYA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.61 | -43.5% | 60.5% | 43 | -2.2% |
| 11 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.61 | -58.5% | 72.2% | 18 | -2.3% |
| 12 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.6 | -38.2% | 51.0% | 149 | -3.6% |
| 13 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.6 | -49.6% | 47.6% | 21 | -2.5% |
| 14 | VIDYA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.59 | -60.0% | 48.9% | 94 | -2.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on S&P Global (SPGI)
0 of 708 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on S&P Global (SPGI) outright. Another 428 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 249 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.94× | 3.24× |
| QQE | — | 1.27× | 2.46× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.39× | 3.04× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.42× | 2.9× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | — | 1.49× | 2.63× |
| Chandelier Exit | — | 1.53× | 3.17× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For S&P Global (SPGI), Momentum (50) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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