The best indicator for SoFi
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real SoFi history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where SoFi stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Keltner Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for SoFi over ~5.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 25.2% CAGR.
SoFi on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 29.7% | 0.97 | -34.4% | 80.0% | 20 | 25.2% |
| 2 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 28.5% | 0.84 | -56.6% | 45.0% | 20 | 31.5% |
| 3 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 31.1% | 0.81 | -35.6% | 61.2% | 67 | 26.6% |
| 4 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 22.2% | 0.78 | -33.2% | 69.2% | 26 | 17.6% |
| 5 | Advance Trend Pressure ✓ | Weekly | 24.3% | 0.74 | -38.5% | 41.2% | 17 | 27.3% |
| 6 | Balance of Power ✓ | Daily | 25.2% | 0.72 | -45.0% | 45.9% | 85 | 20.6% |
| 7 | Advance Trend Pressure ✓ | Daily | 22.4% | 0.7 | -41.0% | 44.4% | 90 | 17.9% |
| 8 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Weekly | 22.3% | 0.74 | -46.6% | 35.7% | 14 | 25.3% |
| 9 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 21.3% | 0.68 | -34.0% | 71.6% | 74 | 16.8% |
| 10 | Hammer ✓ | Daily | 14.3% | 0.68 | -25.3% | 76.7% | 30 | 9.7% |
| 11 | Bullish Engulfing ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.66 | -39.3% | 72.7% | 44 | 10.7% |
| 12 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 21.6% | 0.63 | -47.5% | 44.3% | 282 | 17.1% |
| 13 | Median MA ✓ | Daily | 18.4% | 0.63 | -53.4% | 33.3% | 72 | 13.9% |
| 14 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 16.5% | 0.61 | -33.7% | 63.0% | 27 | 12.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on SoFi
56 of 294 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on SoFi outright. Another 112 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 69 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROC (5) | 2 | none needed | 2.9× |
| Williams %R (7) | 1 | 1.34× | 2.5× |
| MBFX Timing | 1 | 1.34× | 2.5× |
| Elder Impulse | 1 | 1.45× | 3.17× |
| Disparity (5) | 1 | 1.7× | 2.61× |
| Hull MA Trend | 1 | none needed | 2.4× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For SoFi, Keltner Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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