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The best indicator for Royal Bank Canada

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Royal Bank Canada history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — LSMA 100 Trend (Daily) is out of the market. Signal as of 2026-09-10.
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Key levels · as of 2026-09-09

Where Royal Bank Canada stands

206.81
last daily close (2026-09-09)
181.19
200-day simple moving average price 14.1% above
209.19
50-day simple moving average price 1.1% below
141.81–216.57
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Trend · Daily

LSMA 100 Trend

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Royal Bank Canada over ~30.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.7% CAGR.

13.0%
CAGR
1.02
Sharpe
-30.8%
Max DD
53.7%
Win rate
2.67
Profit factor
-3.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Royal Bank Canada on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
LSMA 100 Trend
-3.7% · Sharpe 1.02
Weekly
Volume-Weighted EMA
-1.4% · Sharpe 0.95
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1LSMA 100 Trend Daily13.0%1.02-30.8%53.7%216-3.7%
2RSI (25) Daily15.4%1.0-34.5%38.2%246-1.2%
3Ulcer Index Daily12.3%0.99-24.6%45.8%190-4.3%
4Disparity (50) Daily15.3%0.99-34.5%37.9%240-1.3%
5RSI (30) Daily14.7%0.95-30.0%39.0%213-1.9%
6Volume-Weighted EMA Weekly15.2%0.95-26.9%46.2%78-1.4%
7ZLEMA 100 Trend Daily12.4%0.94-29.8%43.8%260-4.2%
8EMA 30 Trend Weekly15.3%0.94-30.3%42.1%57-1.4%
9Disparity (20) Weekly14.6%0.93-28.8%47.4%78-2.0%
10RSI Trend (>50) Weekly14.5%0.92-24.4%46.3%67-2.1%
11Bollinger %B Weekly14.4%0.92-24.5%46.4%69-2.3%
12Trend Magic Weekly14.3%0.92-29.0%50.0%76-2.3%
13Smoothed MA (Wilder) Daily13.9%0.91-36.1%41.7%302-2.7%
14EMA-10 Trend Weekly14.3%0.91-24.8%50.4%119-2.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

The leverage question

What it would take to beat buy & hold on Royal Bank Canada

5 of 668 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Royal Bank Canada outright. Another 577 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 62 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.

IndicatorBeats B&H unlevered Leverage neededLeverage survived
QQE11.35×2.9×
TRIX11.77×5.48×
Hull MA 15/60 Cross11.87×4.43×
TEMA 20/50 Cross12.12×4.79×
Ehlers Reflex1none needed4.56×
RSI (25)1.14×3.78×

Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way

What this means

For Royal Bank Canada, LSMA 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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