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The best indicator for Royal Bank Canada

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Royal Bank Canada history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Daily

LSMA 100 Trend

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Royal Bank Canada over ~30.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.7% CAGR.

13.0%
CAGR
1.02
Sharpe
-30.8%
Max DD
53.7%
Win rate
2.67
Profit factor
-3.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
LSMA 100 Trend
-3.7% · Sharpe 1.02
Weekly
Volume-Weighted EMA
-1.4% · Sharpe 0.95
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1LSMA 100 Trend Daily13.0%1.02-30.8%53.7%216-3.7%
2RSI (25) Daily15.4%1.0-34.5%38.2%246-1.2%
3Ulcer Index Daily12.3%0.99-24.6%45.8%190-4.3%
4Disparity (50) Daily15.3%0.99-34.5%37.9%240-1.3%
5RSI (30) Daily14.7%0.95-30.0%39.0%213-1.9%
6Volume-Weighted EMA Weekly15.2%0.95-26.9%46.2%78-1.4%
7ZLEMA 100 Trend Daily12.4%0.94-29.8%43.8%260-4.2%
8EMA 30 Trend Weekly15.3%0.94-30.3%42.1%57-1.4%
9Disparity (20) Weekly14.6%0.93-28.8%47.4%78-2.0%
10RSI Trend (>50) Weekly14.5%0.92-24.4%46.3%67-2.1%
11Bollinger %B Weekly14.4%0.92-24.5%46.4%69-2.3%
12Trend Magic Weekly14.3%0.92-29.0%50.0%76-2.3%
13Smoothed MA (Wilder) Daily13.9%0.91-36.1%41.7%302-2.7%
14EMA-10 Trend Weekly14.3%0.91-24.8%50.4%119-2.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Royal Bank Canada, LSMA 100 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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