The best indicator for Philip Morris International (PM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Philip Morris International (PM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Philip Morris International (PM) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Projection Bands
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Philip Morris International (PM) over ~18.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.6% CAGR.
Philip Morris International (PM) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Philip Morris International (PM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.99 | -23.2% | 83.3% | 36 | -1.6% |
| 2 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.83 | -23.2% | 75.9% | 29 | -3.0% |
| 3 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.95 | -13.1% | 100.0% | 13 | -5.2% |
| 4 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.77 | -24.4% | 94.7% | 19 | -4.0% |
| 5 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.77 | -24.4% | 94.7% | 19 | -4.0% |
| 6 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.75 | -29.9% | 58.6% | 111 | -0.5% |
| 7 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 14.1% | 0.73 | -37.2% | 33.3% | 15 | 1.5% |
| 8 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.71 | -42.1% | 45.5% | 55 | 0.5% |
| 9 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.9% | 0.67 | -19.6% | 89.7% | 29 | -6.7% |
| 10 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.67 | -25.5% | 71.4% | 42 | -4.6% |
| 11 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.67 | -24.4% | 94.1% | 17 | -5.4% |
| 12 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.63 | -36.5% | 47.8% | 67 | -3.4% |
| 13 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.62 | -24.4% | 73.3% | 30 | -5.1% |
| 14 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.62 | -17.4% | 74.2% | 31 | -6.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Philip Morris International (PM)
0 of 636 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Philip Morris International (PM) outright. Another 427 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 182 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | — | 5.5× | 6.99× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.21× | 5.47× |
| QQE | — | 1.22× | 4.14× |
| Relative Volatility Index | — | 1.42× | 3.68× |
| Stochastic Fast (5,3) | — | 1.54× | 4.67× |
| Disparity (5) | — | 1.56× | 4.02× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Philip Morris International (PM), Projection Bands on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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