The best indicator for NVR, Inc. (NVR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NVR, Inc. (NVR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where NVR, Inc. (NVR) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Vegas Tunnel
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NVR, Inc. (NVR) over ~41.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR.
NVR, Inc. (NVR) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for NVR, Inc. (NVR) — beating buy-and-hold by 0.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.69 | -53.2% | 33.3% | 18 | 0.6% |
| 2 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.0% | 0.67 | -54.3% | 41.9% | 31 | 0.4% |
| 3 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.66 | -52.3% | 47.4% | 19 | 0.0% |
| 4 | RSI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 14.7% | 0.66 | -54.3% | 42.4% | 33 | 0.1% |
| 5 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.65 | -66.9% | 50.0% | 84 | 3.6% |
| 6 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Daily | 18.3% | 0.64 | -74.4% | 52.9% | 102 | 3.6% |
| 7 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Weekly | 14.1% | 0.64 | -54.6% | 42.1% | 19 | -0.5% |
| 8 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.64 | -64.2% | 53.6% | 28 | -0.9% |
| 9 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.63 | -56.5% | 53.3% | 15 | -0.8% |
| 10 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Weekly | 20.9% | 0.63 | -55.1% | 54.7% | 128 | 6.3% |
| 11 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.62 | -52.3% | 54.3% | 35 | -2.0% |
| 12 | Median MA ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.6 | -45.8% | 54.9% | 133 | -3.9% |
| 13 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 13.9% | 0.64 | -67.7% | 64.3% | 14 | -0.7% |
| 14 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.59 | -61.5% | 52.4% | 21 | -1.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on NVR, Inc. (NVR)
4 of 672 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on NVR, Inc. (NVR) outright. Another 311 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 144 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Volatility Regime | 1 | none needed | 4.41× |
| Bandpass Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 2.57× |
| Supertrend (14,4) | 1 | none needed | 3.3× |
| McGinley 100 Trend | 1 | none needed | 2.17× |
| Ichimoku Cloud | — | 1.34× | 3.73× |
| RSI (50) | — | 1.35× | 3.02× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For NVR, Inc. (NVR), Vegas Tunnel on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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