The best indicator for NVR, Inc. (NVR)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NVR, Inc. (NVR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Vegas Tunnel
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NVR, Inc. (NVR) over ~41.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for NVR, Inc. (NVR) — beating buy-and-hold by 0.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.69 | -53.2% | 33.3% | 18 | 0.6% |
| 2 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.0% | 0.67 | -54.3% | 41.9% | 31 | 0.4% |
| 3 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.66 | -52.3% | 47.4% | 19 | 0.0% |
| 4 | RSI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 14.7% | 0.66 | -54.3% | 42.4% | 33 | 0.1% |
| 5 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.65 | -66.9% | 50.0% | 84 | 3.6% |
| 6 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Daily | 18.3% | 0.64 | -74.4% | 52.9% | 102 | 3.6% |
| 7 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Weekly | 14.1% | 0.64 | -54.6% | 42.1% | 19 | -0.5% |
| 8 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.64 | -64.2% | 53.6% | 28 | -0.9% |
| 9 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.63 | -56.5% | 53.3% | 15 | -0.8% |
| 10 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Weekly | 20.9% | 0.63 | -55.1% | 54.7% | 128 | 6.3% |
| 11 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.62 | -52.3% | 54.3% | 35 | -2.0% |
| 12 | Median MA ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.6 | -45.8% | 54.9% | 133 | -3.9% |
| 13 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 13.9% | 0.64 | -67.7% | 64.3% | 14 | -0.7% |
| 14 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.59 | -61.5% | 52.4% | 21 | -1.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For NVR, Inc. (NVR), Vegas Tunnel on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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