The best indicator for Nvidia (NVDA)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Nvidia (NVDA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
CCI (200)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Nvidia (NVDA) over ~27.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Nvidia (NVDA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 10.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 39.2% | 0.97 | -53.9% | 44.6% | 56 | 2.2% |
| 2 | ROC (20) ✓ | Daily | 37.2% | 0.96 | -67.9% | 46.9% | 307 | 0.2% |
| 3 | Momentum (20) ✓ | Daily | 37.2% | 0.96 | -67.9% | 46.9% | 307 | 0.2% |
| 4 | ROC (20) ✓ | Weekly | 41.0% | 0.96 | -51.2% | 50.0% | 46 | 4.3% |
| 5 | Momentum (20) ✓ | Weekly | 41.0% | 0.96 | -51.2% | 50.0% | 46 | 4.3% |
| 6 | Hull MA 15/60 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 56.6% | 1.63 | -26.8% | 46.5% | 144 | -16.0% |
| 7 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 42.6% | 0.93 | -67.8% | 47.6% | 63 | 5.9% |
| 8 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 39.8% | 0.93 | -53.3% | 63.0% | 27 | 3.1% |
| 9 | ZLEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 26.5% | 0.93 | -53.7% | 65.2% | 23 | -10.2% |
| 10 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | 1-Hour | 49.2% | 1.6 | -25.7% | 40.7% | 145 | -23.4% |
| 11 | CMO (21) ✓ | Daily | 35.1% | 0.92 | -62.6% | 49.0% | 310 | -1.9% |
| 12 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 29.1% | 0.92 | -55.3% | 55.0% | 20 | -7.7% |
| 13 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 38.8% | 0.92 | -54.2% | 75.0% | 20 | 2.0% |
| 14 | ROC (60) ✓ | Daily | 35.5% | 0.91 | -55.2% | 53.7% | 162 | -1.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Nvidia (NVDA), CCI (200) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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