The best indicator for Northern Trust (NTRS)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Northern Trust (NTRS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Northern Trust (NTRS) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
ADXR
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Northern Trust (NTRS) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR.
Northern Trust (NTRS) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Northern Trust (NTRS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADXR ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.7 | -48.9% | 44.8% | 67 | -4.2% |
| 2 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 13.4% | 0.69 | -36.6% | 50.0% | 16 | -1.0% |
| 3 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.65 | -45.9% | 62.5% | 32 | -3.1% |
| 4 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.64 | -53.9% | 63.6% | 33 | -3.5% |
| 5 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.63 | -48.1% | 49.1% | 57 | -3.3% |
| 6 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.62 | -63.5% | 65.0% | 20 | -3.1% |
| 7 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.62 | -51.4% | 46.4% | 110 | -1.7% |
| 8 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.62 | -45.4% | 56.2% | 32 | -3.9% |
| 9 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.62 | -50.9% | 62.5% | 16 | -3.2% |
| 10 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.61 | -58.3% | 52.4% | 21 | -3.4% |
| 11 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.6 | -43.2% | 46.0% | 50 | -5.1% |
| 12 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.6 | -41.3% | 41.2% | 68 | -4.1% |
| 13 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.6 | -60.5% | 46.3% | 54 | -4.4% |
| 14 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.59 | -55.5% | 52.0% | 25 | -3.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Northern Trust (NTRS)
0 of 704 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Northern Trust (NTRS) outright. Another 156 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 367 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.29× | 1.96× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.38× | 3.07× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.54× | 2.63× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.63× | 1.94× |
| CCI (200) | — | 1.67× | 2.53× |
| Stochastic | — | 1.96× | 2.77× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Northern Trust (NTRS), ADXR on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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