The best indicator for Nike, Inc. (NKE)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Nike, Inc. (NKE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Nike, Inc. (NKE) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Nike, Inc. (NKE) over ~45.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.3% CAGR.
Nike, Inc. (NKE) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Nike, Inc. (NKE) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.67 | -49.6% | 60.0% | 20 | 1.3% |
| 2 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.64 | -54.4% | 64.7% | 17 | 0.4% |
| 3 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.6 | -49.0% | 55.0% | 20 | -0.8% |
| 4 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.64 | -57.1% | 71.4% | 14 | 0.6% |
| 5 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.59 | -48.4% | 39.3% | 473 | -2.1% |
| 6 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.59 | -49.8% | 50.7% | 142 | -1.9% |
| 7 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.59 | -52.9% | 50.6% | 154 | -1.8% |
| 8 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | Daily | 11.6% | 0.58 | -50.7% | 72.7% | 22 | -2.1% |
| 9 | Trend-Gated Asymmetric ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.58 | -40.7% | 51.9% | 52 | -4.8% |
| 10 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.57 | -48.6% | 54.8% | 42 | -3.8% |
| 11 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.57 | -65.4% | 56.5% | 23 | -1.8% |
| 12 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.56 | -52.9% | 41.1% | 197 | -3.4% |
| 13 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.56 | -51.4% | 49.0% | 100 | -2.6% |
| 14 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.56 | -57.2% | 55.0% | 20 | -2.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Nike, Inc. (NKE)
67 of 697 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Nike, Inc. (NKE) outright. Another 154 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 203 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Tunnel | 2 | none needed | 2.78× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | 2 | none needed | 2.34× |
| EMA 100 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.25× |
| ALMA 200 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.8× |
| RSI (50) | 2 | none needed | 2.24× |
| Disparity (100) | 2 | none needed | 2.25× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Nike, Inc. (NKE), SMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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