The best indicator for Netflix (NFLX)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Netflix (NFLX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian 10 Break
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Netflix (NFLX) over ~24.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Netflix (NFLX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 22.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Weekly | 40.3% | 1.01 | -42.9% | 64.7% | 17 | 9.3% |
| 2 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 39.3% | 1.0 | -55.0% | 60.0% | 20 | 8.3% |
| 3 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | 1-Hour | 46.9% | 1.69 | -21.7% | 54.0% | 50 | 22.0% |
| 4 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 37.7% | 0.97 | -48.5% | 61.1% | 18 | 6.7% |
| 5 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 36.4% | 0.97 | -54.6% | 59.4% | 32 | 5.4% |
| 6 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 36.4% | 0.97 | -54.6% | 59.4% | 32 | 5.4% |
| 7 | CCI (30) ✓ | Weekly | 37.7% | 0.97 | -50.5% | 40.0% | 30 | 6.6% |
| 8 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 34.3% | 0.94 | -70.2% | 54.8% | 42 | 3.0% |
| 9 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 34.4% | 0.94 | -48.0% | 36.4% | 44 | 3.1% |
| 10 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Weekly | 35.6% | 0.94 | -49.0% | 63.9% | 36 | 4.6% |
| 11 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 36.2% | 0.94 | -52.3% | 60.0% | 15 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 33.8% | 0.93 | -53.5% | 67.6% | 34 | 2.6% |
| 13 | Hull Suite ✓ | Weekly | 34.7% | 0.93 | -60.9% | 61.9% | 21 | 3.7% |
| 14 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 35.5% | 0.93 | -54.9% | 61.1% | 18 | 4.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Netflix (NFLX), Donchian 10 Break on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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