The best indicator for Netflix (NFLX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Netflix (NFLX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Netflix (NFLX) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Donchian 10 Break
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Netflix (NFLX) over ~24.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.3% CAGR.
Netflix (NFLX) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Netflix (NFLX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 22.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Weekly | 40.3% | 1.01 | -42.9% | 64.7% | 17 | 9.3% |
| 2 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 39.3% | 1.0 | -55.0% | 60.0% | 20 | 8.3% |
| 3 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | 1-Hour | 46.9% | 1.69 | -21.7% | 54.0% | 50 | 22.0% |
| 4 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 37.7% | 0.97 | -48.5% | 61.1% | 18 | 6.7% |
| 5 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 36.4% | 0.97 | -54.6% | 59.4% | 32 | 5.4% |
| 6 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 36.4% | 0.97 | -54.6% | 59.4% | 32 | 5.4% |
| 7 | CCI (30) ✓ | Weekly | 37.7% | 0.97 | -50.5% | 40.0% | 30 | 6.6% |
| 8 | MAMA / FAMA | 4-Hour | 25.2% | 1.21 | -16.8% | 44.8% | 29 | 7.5% |
| 9 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 34.3% | 0.94 | -70.2% | 54.8% | 42 | 3.0% |
| 10 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 34.4% | 0.94 | -48.0% | 36.4% | 44 | 3.1% |
| 11 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Weekly | 35.6% | 0.94 | -49.0% | 63.9% | 36 | 4.6% |
| 12 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 36.2% | 0.94 | -52.3% | 60.0% | 15 | 5.2% |
| 13 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 33.8% | 0.93 | -53.5% | 67.6% | 34 | 2.6% |
| 14 | Hull Suite ✓ | Weekly | 34.7% | 0.93 | -60.9% | 61.9% | 21 | 3.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Netflix (NFLX)
172 of 1271 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Netflix (NFLX) outright. Another 180 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 150 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | 1.74× | 2.66× |
| Parabolic SAR | 2 | none needed | 3.01× |
| Chande Momentum Osc. | 2 | none needed | 3.71× |
| DMI Direction | 2 | none needed | 2.35× |
| Volume Zone Oscillator | 2 | none needed | 2.5× |
| DEMA 100 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.87× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Netflix (NFLX), Donchian 10 Break on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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