The best indicator for M&T Bank (MTB)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real M&T Bank (MTB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where M&T Bank (MTB) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
CCI (100)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for M&T Bank (MTB) over ~46.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.2% CAGR.
M&T Bank (MTB) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for M&T Bank (MTB) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 12.7% | 0.71 | -50.5% | 53.1% | 32 | -3.2% |
| 2 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Daily | 12.5% | 0.7 | -66.1% | 44.7% | 818 | -3.5% |
| 3 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.68 | -48.2% | 52.6% | 154 | -3.3% |
| 4 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.68 | -49.7% | 72.2% | 18 | -3.3% |
| 5 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.68 | -44.7% | 46.5% | 43 | -3.5% |
| 6 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.68 | -44.7% | 46.5% | 43 | -3.6% |
| 7 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.67 | -75.1% | 50.0% | 476 | -4.1% |
| 8 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 14.7% | 0.67 | -68.2% | 54.1% | 135 | -1.2% |
| 9 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.67 | -35.8% | 69.6% | 23 | -4.0% |
| 10 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.66 | -41.2% | 40.9% | 181 | -5.8% |
| 11 | VIDYA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.66 | -51.8% | 44.1% | 34 | -3.6% |
| 12 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.66 | -61.0% | 73.3% | 15 | -3.9% |
| 13 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.7 | -56.5% | 85.7% | 14 | -2.9% |
| 14 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.65 | -55.3% | 60.9% | 23 | -4.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on M&T Bank (MTB)
2 of 714 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on M&T Bank (MTB) outright. Another 102 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 303 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | 1 | 1.37× | 3.28× |
| Ehlers Cyber Cycle | 1 | none needed | 2.57× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.34× | 2.43× |
| CCI | — | 1.53× | 3.56× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.54× | 2.38× |
| DeMarker | — | 1.57× | 2.67× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For M&T Bank (MTB), CCI (100) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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