The best indicator for Morgan Stanley (MS)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Morgan Stanley (MS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Morgan Stanley (MS) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMA 15/60 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Morgan Stanley (MS) over ~33.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR.
Morgan Stanley (MS) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Morgan Stanley (MS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.59 | -54.6% | 62.5% | 16 | 0.2% |
| 2 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.57 | -54.6% | 68.8% | 16 | -0.4% |
| 3 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.55 | -52.9% | 53.3% | 45 | -1.3% |
| 4 | EMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.54 | -59.3% | 38.9% | 36 | -1.4% |
| 5 | Disparity (100) ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.54 | -59.3% | 38.9% | 36 | -1.4% |
| 6 | Vortex ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.53 | -66.9% | 49.3% | 75 | -1.3% |
| 7 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.52 | -58.5% | 34.3% | 35 | -2.8% |
| 8 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.52 | -53.9% | 58.8% | 34 | -2.4% |
| 9 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.52 | -55.0% | 53.3% | 15 | -2.0% |
| 10 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.55 | -46.0% | 71.4% | 14 | -1.9% |
| 11 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.51 | -74.1% | 55.5% | 357 | 0.0% |
| 12 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.58 | -54.6% | 53.8% | 13 | -0.1% |
| 13 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.5 | -44.0% | 36.8% | 106 | -4.3% |
| 14 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.5 | -72.5% | 33.1% | 139 | -3.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Morgan Stanley (MS)
1 of 682 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Morgan Stanley (MS) outright. Another 469 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 198 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.14× | 2.21× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.98× | 2.91× |
| Ease of Movement | — | 1.37× | 2.89× |
| McGinley Dynamic | — | 1.39× | 2.45× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.39× | 2.46× |
| Vortex (7) | — | 1.43× | 3.61× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Morgan Stanley (MS), SMA 15/60 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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