The best indicator for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMA 200 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) over ~38.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.41 | -69.4% | 28.8% | 118 | 4.0% |
| 2 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.41 | -63.0% | 40.4% | 956 | 4.6% |
| 3 | T3 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.41 | -53.4% | 36.8% | 38 | 3.9% |
| 4 | ROC (30) ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.4 | -84.1% | 40.9% | 352 | 4.3% |
| 5 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.4 | -71.1% | 24.0% | 104 | 4.1% |
| 6 | CMO (30) ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.4 | -84.1% | 40.9% | 352 | 4.3% |
| 7 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.4 | -84.1% | 40.9% | 352 | 4.3% |
| 8 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.4 | -75.6% | 45.7% | 199 | 4.7% |
| 9 | Deviation-Scaled MA ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.4 | -74.0% | 42.7% | 192 | 4.7% |
| 10 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.39 | -77.9% | 37.9% | 206 | 4.0% |
| 11 | T3 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.4% | 0.39 | -73.7% | 33.7% | 83 | 3.2% |
| 12 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.39 | -61.8% | 31.1% | 74 | 3.4% |
| 13 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.39 | -70.4% | 47.2% | 36 | 4.6% |
| 14 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.39 | -53.6% | 32.7% | 49 | 3.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Mosaic Company (The) (MOS), SMA 200 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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