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The best indicator for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.

Signaling FLAT right now — T3 30 Trend (Weekly) is out of the market. Signal computed on 2026-10-19, 4 days behind the price data on this page (it is rebuilt on a separate schedule).
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Key levels · as of 2026-10-23

Where Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) stands

17.84
last daily close (2026-10-23)
23.75
200-day simple moving average price 24.9% below
22.35
50-day simple moving average price 20.2% below
17.27–30.78
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Trend · Weekly

T3 30 Trend

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) over ~38.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.9% CAGR.

7.0%
CAGR
0.41
Sharpe
-53.4%
Max DD
36.8%
Win rate
4.72
Profit factor
+3.9%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) on the weekly chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

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NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

Hull SuiteDeMarker

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

1.8%
CAGR
0.2
Sharpe
56.6%
Win rate
122
Trades
-1.4%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
T3 30 Trend
+3.9% · Sharpe 0.41
Daily
SMA 200 Trend
+3.7% · Sharpe 0.4
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1T3 30 Trend ✓Weekly7.0%0.41-53.4%36.8%383.9%
2SMA 200 Trend ✓Daily7.0%0.4-69.4%28.3%1203.7%
3TRIMA 200 Trend ✓Daily6.6%0.39-61.8%31.1%743.3%
4FRAMA 30 Trend ✓Daily7.2%0.39-65.4%40.0%9673.9%
5ROC (30) ✓Daily7.3%0.39-84.1%40.8%3554.0%
6CCI (200) ✓Daily7.1%0.39-71.1%23.4%1073.8%
7CMO (30) ✓Daily7.3%0.39-84.1%40.8%3554.0%
8Momentum (30) ✓Daily7.3%0.39-84.1%40.8%3554.0%
9ADX / DMIWeekly6.4%0.39-58.9%50.0%423.4%
10Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓Weekly7.5%0.39-73.3%46.3%2014.5%
11Deviation-Scaled MA ✓Weekly7.4%0.39-75.5%44.0%1934.4%
12T3 100 Trend ✓Daily6.4%0.38-73.7%33.7%833.1%
13Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓Weekly7.0%0.38-70.4%45.9%374.0%
14ALMA 100 Trend ✓Weekly6.6%0.38-53.8%32.7%493.5%

✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 684 of 684 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For Mosaic Company (The) (MOS), T3 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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