The best indicator for Moody's Corporation (MCO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Moody's Corporation (MCO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Moody's Corporation (MCO) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Lorentzian Classification
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Moody's Corporation (MCO) over ~32.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.0% CAGR.
Moody's Corporation (MCO) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Moody's Corporation (MCO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Weekly | 14.3% | 0.68 | -43.1% | 55.4% | 251 | 0.0% |
| 2 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.67 | -70.7% | 72.5% | 247 | 2.5% |
| 3 | Trend-Gated Asymmetric ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.65 | -28.5% | 74.2% | 31 | -5.3% |
| 4 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.64 | -33.1% | 48.1% | 79 | -3.2% |
| 5 | ZLEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.64 | -35.9% | 59.4% | 32 | -3.9% |
| 6 | TRIMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.63 | -40.0% | 52.4% | 21 | -2.7% |
| 7 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.63 | -40.0% | 50.0% | 22 | -2.1% |
| 8 | Std Error Channel ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.61 | -36.2% | 61.3% | 62 | -4.3% |
| 9 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.61 | -34.0% | 65.7% | 35 | -4.4% |
| 10 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.6 | -45.0% | 65.2% | 23 | -3.9% |
| 11 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.6 | -33.5% | 66.0% | 47 | -6.3% |
| 12 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.59 | -46.1% | 70.6% | 34 | -3.8% |
| 13 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.59 | -34.2% | 63.6% | 33 | -4.8% |
| 14 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.59 | -41.3% | 54.9% | 51 | -2.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Moody's Corporation (MCO)
1 of 666 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Moody's Corporation (MCO) outright. Another 416 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 211 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | none needed | 2.81× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 2.39× | 3.18× |
| Chandelier Exit | — | 1.41× | 2.99× |
| Chande Momentum Osc. | — | 1.51× | 3.79× |
| QQE | — | 1.51× | 2.13× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | — | 1.6× | 3.23× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Moody's Corporation (MCO), Lorentzian Classification on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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