The best indicator for Honda
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Honda history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Honda stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
MA Envelope
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Honda over ~46.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR.
Honda on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.58 | -42.7% | 73.8% | 122 | 0.6% |
| 2 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.54 | -39.6% | 63.4% | 112 | -1.8% |
| 3 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.52 | -31.3% | 70.9% | 117 | -1.4% |
| 4 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.5 | -33.1% | 77.9% | 77 | -1.9% |
| 5 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 7.1% | 0.5 | -32.8% | 69.7% | 231 | -2.2% |
| 6 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.49 | -38.5% | 69.4% | 72 | -1.4% |
| 7 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.49 | -48.7% | 54.9% | 295 | -0.3% |
| 8 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.48 | -41.8% | 66.9% | 323 | -1.8% |
| 9 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.46 | -42.8% | 67.9% | 53 | -1.8% |
| 10 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.45 | -45.1% | 63.3% | 551 | -2.0% |
| 11 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.4% | 0.45 | -36.8% | 71.7% | 145 | -3.8% |
| 12 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.45 | -57.2% | 55.8% | 387 | -2.3% |
| 13 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.45 | -56.6% | 53.7% | 529 | -1.9% |
| 14 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.44 | -43.2% | 72.3% | 137 | -2.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Honda
51 of 719 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Honda outright. Another 20 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 18 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bollinger Mean-Reversion | 2 | none needed | 4.08× |
| Stochastic | 2 | none needed | 3.28× |
| CCI | 2 | none needed | 3.27× |
| WaveTrend (8/6/4) | 2 | none needed | 2.93× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 2 | none needed | 3.51× |
| Keltner Mean-Reversion | 2 | none needed | 5.4× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Honda, MA Envelope on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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