The best indicator for Hilton Worldwide (HLT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hilton Worldwide (HLT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Hilton Worldwide (HLT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Morning Star
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hilton Worldwide (HLT) over ~12.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.0% CAGR.
Hilton Worldwide (HLT) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Hilton Worldwide (HLT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.98 | -10.7% | 73.3% | 30 | -6.0% |
| 2 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 18.9% | 0.93 | -29.4% | 64.7% | 17 | 0.9% |
| 3 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 16.3% | 0.89 | -25.4% | 86.7% | 15 | -1.7% |
| 4 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 20.5% | 0.87 | -27.1% | 52.2% | 23 | 2.4% |
| 5 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.84 | -25.5% | 61.5% | 26 | -2.8% |
| 6 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.83 | -22.4% | 66.7% | 24 | -2.9% |
| 7 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.82 | -24.2% | 58.1% | 31 | -2.6% |
| 8 | ROC (20) ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.81 | -25.2% | 50.0% | 20 | -3.2% |
| 9 | Momentum (20) ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.81 | -25.2% | 50.0% | 20 | -3.2% |
| 10 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.8 | -23.0% | 72.7% | 22 | -3.7% |
| 11 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 14.4% | 0.8 | -23.0% | 72.7% | 22 | -3.7% |
| 12 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.8 | -20.9% | 70.5% | 61 | -7.0% |
| 13 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 14.1% | 0.8 | -24.1% | 53.3% | 15 | -4.0% |
| 14 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 14.9% | 0.78 | -26.5% | 42.9% | 21 | -3.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Hilton Worldwide (HLT)
1 of 530 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Hilton Worldwide (HLT) outright. Another 330 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 146 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.08× | 5.97× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 2.42× | 6.91× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 3.21× | 4.7× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.69× | 5.26× |
| Squeeze Momentum | — | 1.83× | 10.06× |
| Least Squares MA | — | 1.95× | 6.61× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Hilton Worldwide (HLT), Morning Star on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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