The best indicator for FedEx (FDX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real FedEx (FDX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where FedEx (FDX) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
ZLEMA 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for FedEx (FDX) over ~48.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.1% CAGR.
FedEx (FDX) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for FedEx (FDX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZLEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.57 | -45.2% | 49.7% | 167 | -3.1% |
| 2 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.55 | -52.7% | 51.1% | 264 | -2.7% |
| 3 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.54 | -66.8% | 50.0% | 164 | -4.0% |
| 4 | T3 (Tillson) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.53 | -49.5% | 48.9% | 174 | -3.2% |
| 5 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.53 | -65.2% | 49.1% | 112 | -3.3% |
| 6 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.53 | -65.2% | 49.1% | 112 | -3.3% |
| 7 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.53 | -64.8% | 45.1% | 102 | -3.3% |
| 8 | Momentum ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.52 | -58.9% | 46.3% | 164 | -3.1% |
| 9 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.52 | -64.6% | 55.7% | 167 | -3.4% |
| 10 | Hull MA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.52 | -50.7% | 47.1% | 153 | -4.6% |
| 11 | ROC (10) ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.52 | -58.9% | 46.3% | 164 | -3.1% |
| 12 | CCI (14) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.52 | -61.2% | 44.1% | 136 | -3.2% |
| 13 | Momentum (10) ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.52 | -58.9% | 46.3% | 164 | -3.1% |
| 14 | SMC: Fair Value Gap ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.52 | -63.4% | 46.3% | 123 | -3.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on FedEx (FDX)
7 of 706 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on FedEx (FDX) outright. Another 213 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 418 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.52× | 1.82× |
| Ichimoku Cloud | 1 | none needed | 3.27× |
| Bandpass Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 1.91× |
| CCI (50) | 1 | none needed | 2.46× |
| Parabolic SAR (fast) | 1 | none needed | 1.82× |
| WMA 15/60 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.63× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For FedEx (FDX), ZLEMA 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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