The best indicator for Exelon (EXC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Exelon (EXC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Exelon (EXC) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Donchian 100 Break
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Exelon (EXC) over ~53.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.6% CAGR.
Exelon (EXC) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Exelon (EXC) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.59 | -41.9% | 53.8% | 26 | -1.6% |
| 2 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.59 | -44.2% | 65.0% | 40 | -2.1% |
| 3 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.59 | -38.6% | 48.1% | 52 | -1.6% |
| 4 | Donchian 55/20 ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.59 | -39.9% | 81.2% | 16 | -2.6% |
| 5 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.58 | -45.8% | 47.7% | 44 | -1.5% |
| 6 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.58 | -55.8% | 52.3% | 86 | -1.8% |
| 7 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.58 | -61.8% | 54.7% | 64 | 0.4% |
| 8 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.57 | -33.6% | 40.2% | 82 | -3.0% |
| 9 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.57 | -45.8% | 56.5% | 23 | -1.8% |
| 10 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.57 | -45.7% | 44.4% | 45 | -1.6% |
| 11 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.57 | -44.5% | 59.1% | 22 | -1.8% |
| 12 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.56 | -49.7% | 54.7% | 161 | 0.0% |
| 13 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.55 | -52.5% | 42.4% | 33 | -2.1% |
| 14 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.55 | -49.9% | 45.1% | 102 | -1.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Exelon (EXC)
2 of 722 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Exelon (EXC) outright. Another 84 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 254 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stochastic | 1 | 1.37× | 3.54× |
| Williams %R | 1 | 1.83× | 2.89× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.66× | 2.77× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.39× | 2.63× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | — | 1.41× | 3.11× |
| Bollinger Mean-Reversion | — | 1.45× | 4.68× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Exelon (EXC), Donchian 100 Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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