The best indicator for Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
CCI (100)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) over ~30.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.
Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.47 | -53.3% | 41.2% | 17 | -0.5% |
| 2 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.44 | -53.2% | 50.0% | 20 | -1.6% |
| 3 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.44 | -46.6% | 46.4% | 69 | -1.6% |
| 4 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.43 | -47.9% | 35.3% | 116 | -2.2% |
| 5 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.43 | -53.7% | 50.7% | 207 | -1.7% |
| 6 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.43 | -63.7% | 39.3% | 56 | -1.9% |
| 7 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.42 | -64.1% | 45.9% | 111 | -1.6% |
| 8 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.44 | -33.6% | 64.3% | 14 | -2.0% |
| 9 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.41 | -56.4% | 48.9% | 94 | -2.0% |
| 10 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.41 | -68.5% | 38.5% | 26 | -1.1% |
| 11 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.41 | -64.1% | 42.4% | 85 | -1.1% |
| 12 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.41 | -64.2% | 44.6% | 92 | -1.6% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.4 | -53.7% | 43.2% | 81 | -2.3% |
| 14 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.4 | -65.6% | 40.6% | 64 | -2.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL)
326 of 630 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) outright. Another 24 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 29 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | 4 | none needed | 1.87× |
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | 3 | none needed | 2.36× |
| RSI Trend (>50) | 2 | none needed | 2.23× |
| Rate of Change | 2 | none needed | 2.12× |
| Donchian Midline | 2 | none needed | 2.25× |
| Supertrend Fast (10,2) | 2 | none needed | 2.07× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL), CCI (100) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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