The best indicator for Dow Inc. (DOW)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dow Inc. (DOW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
FRAMA 10/30 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dow Inc. (DOW) over ~7.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 14.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dow Inc. (DOW) — beating buy-and-hold by 11.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.74 | -26.1% | 61.3% | 31 | 14.8% |
| 2 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.7 | -19.8% | 43.8% | 16 | 10.6% |
| 3 | DEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.66 | -17.4% | 50.0% | 14 | 11.3% |
| 4 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.61 | -36.2% | 33.3% | 15 | 12.3% |
| 5 | Triangular Hull MA ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.61 | -27.6% | 50.0% | 16 | 10.0% |
| 6 | Balance of Power ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.59 | -30.2% | 62.5% | 16 | 10.9% |
| 7 | Trade Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.58 | -22.1% | 52.6% | 19 | 11.9% |
| 8 | Hull MA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.58 | -27.6% | 50.0% | 20 | 9.2% |
| 9 | Momentum ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.55 | -33.2% | 52.6% | 19 | 9.8% |
| 10 | ROC (10) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.55 | -33.2% | 52.6% | 19 | 9.8% |
| 11 | Momentum (10) ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.55 | -33.2% | 52.6% | 19 | 9.8% |
| 12 | Elder-Ray ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.54 | -13.4% | 43.8% | 128 | 5.0% |
| 13 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.6 | -29.6% | 46.2% | 13 | 11.5% |
| 14 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.52 | -45.4% | 50.0% | 16 | 9.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dow Inc. (DOW), FRAMA 10/30 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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