The best indicator for Dow Inc. (DOW)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dow Inc. (DOW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Dow Inc. (DOW) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Morning Star
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dow Inc. (DOW) over ~7.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.9% CAGR.
Dow Inc. (DOW) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dow Inc. (DOW) — beating buy-and-hold by 11.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.63 | -21.6% | 43.8% | 16 | 11.9% |
| 2 | Balance of Power ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.59 | -31.0% | 62.5% | 16 | 13.3% |
| 3 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.54 | -36.2% | 31.2% | 16 | 12.9% |
| 4 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.54 | -36.7% | 55.2% | 29 | 12.7% |
| 5 | Hull MA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.54 | -27.6% | 55.0% | 20 | 10.7% |
| 6 | DEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.53 | -21.2% | 47.1% | 17 | 10.9% |
| 7 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.54 | -29.6% | 42.9% | 14 | 12.6% |
| 8 | VWAP Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.5 | -39.1% | 43.8% | 16 | 10.9% |
| 9 | Triangular Hull MA ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.5 | -30.0% | 47.1% | 17 | 10.1% |
| 10 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.49 | -22.9% | 36.8% | 19 | 10.6% |
| 11 | Momentum ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.49 | -37.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 10.8% |
| 12 | ROC (10) ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.49 | -37.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 10.8% |
| 13 | Momentum (10) ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.49 | -37.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 10.8% |
| 14 | Hull MA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.48 | -32.7% | 53.3% | 30 | 10.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Dow Inc. (DOW) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 364 of 364 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Dow Inc. (DOW), Morning Star on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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